Eredivisie·Regular Season - 18·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.413.07safe0.69–2.630.55–2.261.24–4.89safer0.44–2.880.32–2.490.77–5.37
Shots on target
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.944.589.52safe3.08–6.812.84–6.325.92–13.13safer2.59–7.302.37–6.794.96–14.08
Total shots
56%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9813.6428.63safe11.06–18.9110.08–17.2121.14–36.12safer9.97–20.009.12–18.1719.09–38.17
Shots in box
49%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction9.739.2819.02safe6.79–12.676.60–11.9613.39–24.64safer5.96–13.505.87–12.7011.83–26.21
Blocked shots
50%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.504.008.50safe2.61–6.382.35–5.664.96–12.04safer2.07–6.921.86–6.153.93–13.07
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.615.4011.00safe3.40–7.823.40–7.406.79–15.22safer2.82–8.402.86–7.935.68–16.32
Possession %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction52.3347.82safe45.54–59.1241.03–54.60safer43.87–60.7939.36–56.27
Passes
65%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction456411867safe389–523344–477733–1001safer371–542327–495698–1036
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction68.2070.61safe64.17–72.2366.29–74.94safer62.87–73.5264.98–76.24
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2212.1322.35safe7.38–13.069.18–15.0716.57–28.13safer6.63–13.828.44–15.8215.06–29.64
Offsides
41%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.513.13safe0.47–2.790.41–2.600.88–5.39safer0.16–3.090.12–2.890.29–5.97
Yellow cards
31%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.652.96safe0.26–2.360.52–2.780.78–5.14safer0.00–2.630.23–3.070.22–5.69
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.053.506.55safe1.61–4.481.95–5.063.56–9.54safer1.22–4.871.52–5.482.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 0.69–2.63 0.44–2.88 | 1.41 0.55–2.26 0.32–2.49 | 3.07 1.24–4.89 0.77–5.37 | 44% 24% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.94 3.08–6.81 2.59–7.30 | 4.58 2.84–6.32 2.37–6.79 | 9.52 5.92–13.13 4.96–14.08 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Total shots | 14.98 11.06–18.91 9.97–20.00 | 13.64 10.08–17.21 9.12–18.17 | 28.63 21.14–36.12 19.09–38.17 | 56% 37% |
| Shots in box | 9.73 6.79–12.67 5.96–13.50 | 9.28 6.60–11.96 5.87–12.70 | 19.02 13.39–24.64 11.83–26.21 | 49% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 4.50 2.61–6.38 2.07–6.92 | 4.00 2.35–5.66 1.86–6.15 | 8.50 4.96–12.04 3.93–13.07 | 50% 14% 37% |
| Corners | 5.61 3.40–7.82 2.82–8.40 | 5.40 3.40–7.40 2.86–7.93 | 11.00 6.79–15.22 5.68–16.32 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 52.33 45.54–59.12 43.87–60.79 | 47.82 41.03–54.60 39.36–56.27 | — | 58% 37% |
| Passes | 456 389–523 371–542 | 411 344–477 327–495 | 867 733–1001 698–1036 | 65% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.20 64.17–72.23 62.87–73.52 | 70.61 66.29–74.94 64.98–76.24 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 10.22 7.38–13.06 6.63–13.82 | 12.13 9.18–15.07 8.44–15.82 | 22.35 16.57–28.13 15.06–29.64 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.16–3.09 | 1.51 0.41–2.60 0.12–2.89 | 3.13 0.88–5.39 0.29–5.97 | 41% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.26–2.36 0.00–2.63 | 1.65 0.52–2.78 0.23–3.07 | 2.96 0.78–5.14 0.22–5.69 | 31% 24% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.05 1.61–4.48 1.22–4.87 | 3.50 1.95–5.06 1.52–5.48 | 6.55 3.56–9.54 2.75–10.36 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.