Eredivisie·Regular Season - 18·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
21%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.293.32safe1.06–3.000.43–2.141.50–5.14safer0.81–3.250.20–2.371.02–5.62
Shots on target
76%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.764.0010.76safe4.90–8.622.25–5.747.15–14.36safer4.41–9.111.79–6.206.20–15.32
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction19.0410.8529.89safe15.11–22.967.29–14.4122.40–37.37safer14.02–24.056.33–15.3720.35–39.42
Shots in box
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction12.197.7119.90safe9.25–15.135.03–10.3914.28–25.52safer8.42–15.964.29–11.1312.71–27.09
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.853.027.87safe2.97–6.741.37–4.674.34–11.41safer2.43–7.280.88–5.173.30–12.45
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.234.1410.37safe4.01–8.442.14–6.146.16–14.58safer3.44–9.011.61–6.685.05–15.69
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction57.9142.26safe51.12–64.7035.48–49.04safer49.45–66.3733.80–50.72
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction541402944safe474–608336–469810–1077safer456–626318–486774–1113
Pass accuracy %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction78.4972.63safe74.46–82.5268.31–76.95safer73.17–83.8167.00–78.26
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2812.2022.49safe7.45–13.129.26–15.1516.71–28.27safer6.69–13.888.51–15.9015.20–29.78
Offsides
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.613.51safe0.74–3.060.51–2.701.25–5.76safer0.44–3.360.23–2.990.66–6.35
Yellow cards
24%
22%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.903.11safe0.16–2.260.77–3.030.93–5.29safer0.00–2.530.48–3.320.37–5.85
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
20%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.764.457.21safe1.32–4.202.89–6.004.21–10.20safer0.94–4.582.47–6.433.40–11.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.03 1.06–3.00 0.81–3.25 | 1.29 0.43–2.14 0.20–2.37 | 3.32 1.50–5.14 1.02–5.62 | 55% 21% 24% |
| Shots on target | 6.76 4.90–8.62 4.41–9.11 | 4.00 2.25–5.74 1.79–6.20 | 10.76 7.15–14.36 6.20–15.32 | 76% 16% |
| Total shots | 19.04 15.11–22.96 14.02–24.05 | 10.85 7.29–14.41 6.33–15.37 | 29.89 22.40–37.37 20.35–39.42 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 12.19 9.25–15.13 8.42–15.96 | 7.71 5.03–10.39 4.29–11.13 | 19.90 14.28–25.52 12.71–27.09 | 81% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 4.85 2.97–6.74 2.43–7.28 | 3.02 1.37–4.67 0.88–5.17 | 7.87 4.34–11.41 3.30–12.45 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 6.23 4.01–8.44 3.44–9.01 | 4.14 2.14–6.14 1.61–6.68 | 10.37 6.16–14.58 5.05–15.69 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 57.91 51.12–64.70 49.45–66.37 | 42.26 35.48–49.04 33.80–50.72 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 541 474–608 456–626 | 402 336–469 318–486 | 944 810–1077 774–1113 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.49 74.46–82.52 73.17–83.81 | 72.63 68.31–76.95 67.00–78.26 | — | 76% 21% |
| Fouls | 10.28 7.45–13.12 6.69–13.88 | 12.20 9.26–15.15 8.51–15.90 | 22.49 16.71–28.27 15.20–29.78 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 1.61 0.51–2.70 0.23–2.99 | 3.51 1.25–5.76 0.66–6.35 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.21 0.16–2.26 0.00–2.53 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.11 0.93–5.29 0.37–5.85 | 24% 22% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.32–4.20 0.94–4.58 | 4.45 2.89–6.00 2.47–6.43 | 7.21 4.21–10.20 3.40–11.01 | 20% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.