Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
18%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction0.972.303.27safe0.00–1.941.44–3.151.44–5.09safer0.00–2.191.21–3.380.97–5.57
Shots on target
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.666.4310.09safe1.80–5.524.69–8.186.49–13.70safer1.31–6.014.22–8.645.53–14.65
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0716.6827.75safe7.15–15.0013.12–20.2420.27–35.24safer6.06–16.0912.16–21.2018.22–37.29
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.4310.9817.41safe3.49–9.378.30–13.6611.79–23.04safer2.66–10.207.56–14.4010.22–24.60
Blocked shots
21%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.804.447.25safe0.92–4.682.79–6.103.71–10.78safer0.38–5.232.30–6.592.68–11.82
Corners
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction4.185.789.95safe1.96–6.393.78–7.785.74–14.16safer1.39–6.963.24–8.314.63–15.27
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction42.0158.24safe35.22–48.8051.46–65.03safer33.55–50.4749.79–66.70
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction401546947safe334–468479–612813–1081safer316–486462–630778–1116
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction64.1073.83safe60.07–68.1369.51–78.16safer58.78–69.4268.20–79.47
Fouls
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7710.6921.46safe7.94–13.617.75–13.6415.68–27.25safer7.18–14.377.00–14.3814.18–28.75
Offsides
32%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.953.54safe0.42–2.740.86–3.051.28–5.79safer0.12–3.040.57–3.340.70–6.38
Yellow cards
42%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.382.95safe0.53–2.630.25–2.500.77–5.13safer0.26–2.890.00–2.800.22–5.69
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
62%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.792.546.32safe2.35–5.220.98–4.093.33–9.32safer1.96–5.610.56–4.522.52–10.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.97 0.00–1.94 0.00–2.19 | 2.30 1.44–3.15 1.21–3.38 | 3.27 1.44–5.09 0.97–5.57 | 14% 18% 67% |
| Shots on target | 3.66 1.80–5.52 1.31–6.01 | 6.43 4.69–8.18 4.22–8.64 | 10.09 6.49–13.70 5.53–14.65 | 15% 76% |
| Total shots | 11.07 7.15–15.00 6.06–16.09 | 16.68 13.12–20.24 12.16–21.20 | 27.75 20.27–35.24 18.22–37.29 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 6.43 3.49–9.37 2.66–10.20 | 10.98 8.30–13.66 7.56–14.40 | 17.41 11.79–23.04 10.22–24.60 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 2.80 0.92–4.68 0.38–5.23 | 4.44 2.79–6.10 2.30–6.59 | 7.25 3.71–10.78 2.68–11.82 | 21% 66% |
| Corners | 4.18 1.96–6.39 1.39–6.96 | 5.78 3.78–7.78 3.24–8.31 | 9.95 5.74–14.16 4.63–15.27 | 25% 64% |
| Possession % | 42.01 35.22–48.80 33.55–50.47 | 58.24 51.46–65.03 49.79–66.70 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 401 334–468 316–486 | 546 479–612 462–630 | 947 813–1081 778–1116 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.10 60.07–68.13 58.78–69.42 | 73.83 69.51–78.16 68.20–79.47 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 10.77 7.94–13.61 7.18–14.37 | 10.69 7.75–13.64 7.00–14.38 | 21.46 15.68–27.25 14.18–28.75 | 46% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 1.95 0.86–3.05 0.57–3.34 | 3.54 1.28–5.79 0.70–6.38 | 32% 22% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.26–2.89 | 1.38 0.25–2.50 0.00–2.80 | 2.95 0.77–5.13 0.22–5.69 | 42% 24% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.79 2.35–5.22 1.96–5.61 | 2.54 0.98–4.09 0.56–4.52 | 6.32 3.33–9.32 2.52–10.13 | 62% 14% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+