Eredivisie·Regular Season - 19·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.933.23safe0.33–2.271.08–2.791.41–5.05safer0.08–2.520.85–3.010.93–5.53
Shots on target
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.355.8710.22safe2.49–6.214.13–7.616.62–13.83safer2.00–6.703.66–8.085.66–14.78
Total shots
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6416.4229.06safe8.71–16.5612.86–19.9821.57–36.54safer7.62–17.6511.90–20.9419.52–38.60
Shots in box
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction8.8510.4419.29safe5.91–11.797.76–13.1213.67–24.91safer5.08–12.627.02–13.8612.10–26.48
Blocked shots
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.255.098.33safe1.36–5.133.43–6.744.80–11.87safer0.82–5.672.94–7.233.76–12.90
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.805.7110.51safe2.58–7.013.71–7.716.30–14.72safer2.01–7.593.18–8.245.19–15.83
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction40.2960.45safe33.50–47.0853.66–67.23safer31.83–48.7551.99–68.90
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction372568940safe305–439501–634806–1073safer287–457484–652770–1109
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction66.1979.24safe62.17–70.2274.91–83.56safer60.87–71.5273.60–84.87
Fouls
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1910.4120.60safe7.36–13.037.46–13.3514.82–26.38safer6.60–13.796.71–14.1013.31–27.89
Offsides
47%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.403.21safe0.65–2.970.31–2.500.96–5.46safer0.35–3.270.02–2.780.37–6.05
Yellow cards
31%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.662.98safe0.27–2.370.53–2.790.80–5.16safer0.01–2.640.24–3.080.25–5.72
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.082.836.92safe2.65–5.521.28–4.393.93–9.91safer2.26–5.910.85–4.813.11–10.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.27 0.08–2.52 | 1.93 1.08–2.79 0.85–3.01 | 3.23 1.41–5.05 0.93–5.53 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.35 2.49–6.21 2.00–6.70 | 5.87 4.13–7.61 3.66–8.08 | 10.22 6.62–13.83 5.66–14.78 | 26% 62% |
| Total shots | 12.64 8.71–16.56 7.62–17.65 | 16.42 12.86–19.98 11.90–20.94 | 29.06 21.57–36.54 19.52–38.60 | 21% 73% |
| Shots in box | 8.85 5.91–11.79 5.08–12.62 | 10.44 7.76–13.12 7.02–13.86 | 19.29 13.67–24.91 12.10–26.48 | 32% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.25 1.36–5.13 0.82–5.67 | 5.09 3.43–6.74 2.94–7.23 | 8.33 4.80–11.87 3.76–12.90 | 21% 68% |
| Corners | 4.80 2.58–7.01 2.01–7.59 | 5.71 3.71–7.71 3.18–8.24 | 10.51 6.30–14.72 5.19–15.83 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 40.29 33.50–47.08 31.83–48.75 | 60.45 53.66–67.23 51.99–68.90 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 372 305–439 287–457 | 568 501–634 484–652 | 940 806–1073 770–1109 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.19 62.17–70.22 60.87–71.52 | 79.24 74.91–83.56 73.60–84.87 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 10.19 7.36–13.03 6.60–13.79 | 10.41 7.46–13.35 6.71–14.10 | 20.60 14.82–26.38 13.31–27.89 | 44% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.40 0.31–2.50 0.02–2.78 | 3.21 0.96–5.46 0.37–6.05 | 47% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.32 0.27–2.37 0.01–2.64 | 1.66 0.53–2.79 0.24–3.08 | 2.98 0.80–5.16 0.25–5.72 | 31% 24% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 4.08 2.65–5.52 2.26–5.91 | 2.83 1.28–4.39 0.85–4.81 | 6.92 3.93–9.91 3.11–10.72 | 61% 14% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.