Eredivisie·Regular Season - 19·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.972.893.86safe0.00–1.942.04–3.752.04–5.68safer0.00–2.191.81–3.971.56–6.16
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction3.166.9010.06safe1.30–5.035.15–8.646.46–13.67safer0.81–5.524.69–9.115.50–14.62
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1217.4727.59safe6.20–14.0513.91–21.0320.11–35.08safer5.11–15.1412.95–21.9918.05–37.13
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction6.6612.5519.21safe3.72–9.609.87–15.2313.58–24.83safer2.89–10.439.13–15.9612.02–26.40
Blocked shots
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.975.608.56safe1.09–4.853.94–7.255.03–12.10safer0.54–5.393.45–7.743.99–13.14
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction3.587.1310.71safe1.36–5.795.13–9.136.49–14.92safer0.79–6.374.59–9.665.38–16.03
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction36.0365.70safe29.24–42.8258.91–72.48safer27.57–44.4957.24–74.15
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction330588918safe263–397522–655785–1052safer245–415504–672749–1088
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction62.9780.47safe58.94–67.0076.15–84.79safer57.65–68.2974.84–86.10
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9111.0720.99safe7.08–12.758.13–14.0215.21–26.77safer6.32–13.517.38–14.7713.70–28.28
Offsides
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.913.32safe0.25–2.570.81–3.001.06–5.57safer0.00–2.870.52–3.290.47–6.16
Yellow cards
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.633.52safe0.85–2.950.50–2.751.35–5.70safer0.58–3.210.21–3.050.79–6.26
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.442.186.62safe3.00–5.880.62–3.733.63–9.61safer2.62–6.260.20–4.162.81–10.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.97 0.00–1.94 0.00–2.19 | 2.89 2.04–3.75 1.81–3.97 | 3.86 2.04–5.68 1.56–6.16 | 14% 77% |
| Shots on target | 3.16 1.30–5.03 0.81–5.52 | 6.90 5.15–8.64 4.69–9.11 | 10.06 6.46–13.67 5.50–14.62 | 85% |
| Total shots | 10.12 6.20–14.05 5.11–15.14 | 17.47 13.91–21.03 12.95–21.99 | 27.59 20.11–35.08 18.05–37.13 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 6.66 3.72–9.60 2.89–10.43 | 12.55 9.87–15.23 9.13–15.96 | 19.21 13.58–24.83 12.02–26.40 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 2.97 1.09–4.85 0.54–5.39 | 5.60 3.94–7.25 3.45–7.74 | 8.56 5.03–12.10 3.99–13.14 | 14% 77% |
| Corners | 3.58 1.36–5.79 0.79–6.37 | 7.13 5.13–9.13 4.59–9.66 | 10.71 6.49–14.92 5.38–16.03 | 83% |
| Possession % | 36.03 29.24–42.82 27.57–44.49 | 65.70 58.91–72.48 57.24–74.15 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 330 263–397 245–415 | 588 522–655 504–672 | 918 785–1052 749–1088 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.97 58.94–67.00 57.65–68.29 | 80.47 76.15–84.79 74.84–86.10 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 9.91 7.08–12.75 6.32–13.51 | 11.07 8.13–14.02 7.38–14.77 | 20.99 15.21–26.77 13.70–28.28 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.87 | 1.91 0.81–3.00 0.52–3.29 | 3.32 1.06–5.57 0.47–6.16 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.58–3.21 | 1.63 0.50–2.75 0.21–3.05 | 3.52 1.35–5.70 0.79–6.26 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 4.44 3.00–5.88 2.62–6.26 | 2.18 0.62–3.73 0.20–4.16 | 6.62 3.63–9.61 2.81–10.42 | 75% 14% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.