Eredivisie·Regular Season - 19·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
26%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.402.74safe0.37–2.310.54–2.250.92–4.56safer0.12–2.560.32–2.480.44–5.04
Shots on target
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.284.708.98safe2.42–6.152.96–6.445.38–12.59safer1.93–6.642.49–6.914.42–13.55
Total shots
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1913.2425.43safe8.26–16.119.67–16.8017.94–32.91safer7.17–17.208.72–17.7615.89–34.96
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction9.057.4516.50safe6.10–11.994.77–10.1310.87–22.12safer5.27–12.824.03–10.879.31–23.69
Blocked shots
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.223.086.30safe1.34–5.101.43–4.742.77–9.84safer0.79–5.640.94–5.231.73–10.87
Corners
47%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.914.669.56safe2.70–7.122.66–6.665.35–13.78safer2.12–7.702.12–7.194.24–14.89
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.1155.55safe37.32–50.9048.76–62.33safer35.65–52.5747.09–64.01
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction389484874safe322–456418–551740–1007safer304–475400–568704–1043
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction65.8773.91safe61.85–69.9069.58–78.23safer60.55–71.2068.27–79.54
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0812.8223.91safe8.25–13.929.88–15.7718.13–29.69safer7.49–14.689.13–16.5216.62–31.19
Offsides
50%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.353.24safe0.73–3.050.26–2.440.99–5.49safer0.43–3.350.00–2.730.40–6.08
Yellow cards
32%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.033.72safe0.64–2.740.90–3.161.54–5.90safer0.37–3.000.61–3.450.98–6.46
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.222.836.05safe1.79–4.661.27–4.383.06–9.04safer1.40–5.050.85–4.812.25–9.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.40 0.54–2.25 0.32–2.48 | 2.74 0.92–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 36% 26% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.28 2.42–6.15 1.93–6.64 | 4.70 2.96–6.44 2.49–6.91 | 8.98 5.38–12.59 4.42–13.55 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Total shots | 12.19 8.26–16.11 7.17–17.20 | 13.24 9.67–16.80 8.72–17.76 | 25.43 17.94–32.91 15.89–34.96 | 38% 54% |
| Shots in box | 9.05 6.10–11.99 5.27–12.82 | 7.45 4.77–10.13 4.03–10.87 | 16.50 10.87–22.12 9.31–23.69 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.22 1.34–5.10 0.79–5.64 | 3.08 1.43–4.74 0.94–5.23 | 6.30 2.77–9.84 1.73–10.87 | 44% 16% 40% |
| Corners | 4.91 2.70–7.12 2.12–7.70 | 4.66 2.66–6.66 2.12–7.19 | 9.56 5.35–13.78 4.24–14.89 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Possession % | 44.11 37.32–50.90 35.65–52.57 | 55.55 48.76–62.33 47.09–64.01 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 389 322–456 304–475 | 484 418–551 400–568 | 874 740–1007 704–1043 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.87 61.85–69.90 60.55–71.20 | 73.91 69.58–78.23 68.27–79.54 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 11.08 8.25–13.92 7.49–14.68 | 12.82 9.88–15.77 9.13–16.52 | 23.91 18.13–29.69 16.62–31.19 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 1.35 0.26–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 3.24 0.99–5.49 0.40–6.08 | 50% 22% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.37–3.00 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.72 1.54–5.90 0.98–6.46 | 32% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.22 1.79–4.66 1.40–5.05 | 2.83 1.27–4.38 0.85–4.81 | 6.05 3.06–9.04 2.25–9.86 | 48% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.