Predicted match statistics
Goals
80%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.710.693.40safe1.74–3.680.00–1.541.58–5.22safer1.49–3.930.00–1.771.10–5.70
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction7.832.6110.43safe5.96–9.690.86–4.356.83–14.04safer5.47–10.180.40–4.825.87–14.99
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.597.5028.10safe16.67–24.523.94–11.0720.61–35.58safer15.58–25.612.98–12.0318.56–37.63
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction13.545.6419.18safe10.60–16.482.96–8.3213.55–24.80safer9.77–17.312.22–9.0611.99–26.37
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.882.588.46safe4.00–7.760.93–4.234.93–12.00safer3.46–8.310.43–4.723.89–13.03
Corners
94%
homeawaytotalprediction8.422.8411.26safe6.21–10.630.84–4.847.04–15.47safer5.63–11.210.30–5.375.94–16.58
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction64.6434.48safe57.85–71.4327.69–41.26safer56.18–73.1026.02–42.93
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction626303929safe559–694236–369795–1063safer541–712219–387760–1098
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction82.4668.32safe78.44–86.4964.00–72.65safer77.14–87.7962.69–73.96
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4510.2420.69safe7.61–13.297.29–13.1814.91–26.47safer6.86–14.046.55–13.9313.40–27.97
Offsides
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.753.36safe0.45–2.770.65–2.841.11–5.61safer0.15–3.070.37–3.130.52–6.20
Yellow cards
24%
24%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.061.652.71safe0.01–2.110.52–2.780.53–4.89safer0.00–2.380.23–3.070.00–5.45
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.030.120.15safe0.00–0.190.00–0.300.00–0.50safer0.00–0.340.00–0.440.00–0.78
GK saves
83%
homeawaytotalprediction1.934.866.79safe0.49–3.363.30–6.413.79–9.78safer0.10–3.752.88–6.842.98–10.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.71 1.74–3.68 1.49–3.93 | 0.69 0.00–1.54 0.00–1.77 | 3.40 1.58–5.22 1.10–5.70 | 80% 13% |
| Shots on target | 7.83 5.96–9.69 5.47–10.18 | 2.61 0.86–4.35 0.40–4.82 | 10.43 6.83–14.04 5.87–14.99 | 93% |
| Total shots | 20.59 16.67–24.52 15.58–25.61 | 7.50 3.94–11.07 2.98–12.03 | 28.10 20.61–35.58 18.56–37.63 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.54 10.60–16.48 9.77–17.31 | 5.64 2.96–8.32 2.22–9.06 | 19.18 13.55–24.80 11.99–26.37 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.88 4.00–7.76 3.46–8.31 | 2.58 0.93–4.23 0.43–4.72 | 8.46 4.93–12.00 3.89–13.03 | 84% |
| Corners | 8.42 6.21–10.63 5.63–11.21 | 2.84 0.84–4.84 0.30–5.37 | 11.26 7.04–15.47 5.94–16.58 | 94% |
| Possession % | 64.64 57.85–71.43 56.18–73.10 | 34.48 27.69–41.26 26.02–42.93 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 626 559–694 541–712 | 303 236–369 219–387 | 929 795–1063 760–1098 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.46 78.44–86.49 77.14–87.79 | 68.32 64.00–72.65 62.69–73.96 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 10.45 7.61–13.29 6.86–14.04 | 10.24 7.29–13.18 6.55–13.93 | 20.69 14.91–26.47 13.40–27.97 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 1.75 0.65–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 3.36 1.11–5.61 0.52–6.20 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.06 0.01–2.11 0.00–2.38 | 1.65 0.52–2.78 0.23–3.07 | 2.71 0.53–4.89 0.00–5.45 | 24% 24% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.03 0.00–0.19 0.00–0.34 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 1.93 0.49–3.36 0.10–3.75 | 4.86 3.30–6.41 2.88–6.84 | 6.79 3.79–9.78 2.98–10.59 | 83% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+