Eredivisie·Regular Season - 20·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
19%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.250.933.18safe1.28–3.220.07–1.781.35–5.00safer1.03–3.470.00–2.010.87–5.48
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.373.2810.65safe5.51–9.231.53–5.027.04–14.25safer5.02–9.721.07–5.486.09–15.21
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.038.6029.63safe17.11–24.965.03–12.1622.14–37.12safer16.02–26.054.07–13.1220.09–39.17
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction13.426.4319.85safe10.48–16.363.75–9.1114.22–25.47safer9.65–17.193.01–9.8512.66–27.04
Blocked shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.952.168.12safe4.07–7.840.51–3.824.58–11.65safer3.53–8.380.02–4.313.55–12.69
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction8.133.3211.45safe5.92–10.351.32–5.327.24–15.67safer5.34–10.920.79–5.856.13–16.77
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.3633.49safe59.57–73.1526.71–40.28safer57.90–74.8225.04–41.95
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction618324942safe551–685257–390808–1076safer533–703240–408773–1111
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction79.1065.63safe75.07–83.1361.31–69.96safer73.78–84.4260.00–71.27
Fouls
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7613.3123.07safe6.92–12.5910.37–16.2617.29–28.85safer6.16–13.359.62–17.0115.78–30.36
Offsides
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.683.20safe0.35–2.680.59–2.770.94–5.45safer0.05–2.980.30–3.060.35–6.04
Yellow cards
19%
21%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.102.093.18safe0.05–2.150.96–3.221.01–5.36safer0.00–2.410.67–3.510.45–5.92
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
84%
homeawaytotalprediction2.235.377.60safe0.79–3.663.82–6.934.61–10.59safer0.40–4.053.39–7.353.80–11.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.25 1.28–3.22 1.03–3.47 | 0.93 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.01 | 3.18 1.35–5.00 0.87–5.48 | 67% 19% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.37 5.51–9.23 5.02–9.72 | 3.28 1.53–5.02 1.07–5.48 | 10.65 7.04–14.25 6.09–15.21 | 87% |
| Total shots | 21.03 17.11–24.96 16.02–26.05 | 8.60 5.03–12.16 4.07–13.12 | 29.63 22.14–37.12 20.09–39.17 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.42 10.48–16.36 9.65–17.19 | 6.43 3.75–9.11 3.01–9.85 | 19.85 14.22–25.47 12.66–27.04 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 5.95 4.07–7.84 3.53–8.38 | 2.16 0.51–3.82 0.02–4.31 | 8.12 4.58–11.65 3.55–12.69 | 88% |
| Corners | 8.13 5.92–10.35 5.34–10.92 | 3.32 1.32–5.32 0.79–5.85 | 11.45 7.24–15.67 6.13–16.77 | 90% |
| Possession % | 66.36 59.57–73.15 57.90–74.82 | 33.49 26.71–40.28 25.04–41.95 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 618 551–685 533–703 | 324 257–390 240–408 | 942 808–1076 773–1111 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.10 75.07–83.13 73.78–84.42 | 65.63 61.31–69.96 60.00–71.27 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 9.76 6.92–12.59 6.16–13.35 | 13.31 10.37–16.26 9.62–17.01 | 23.07 17.29–28.85 15.78–30.36 | 20% 74% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.35–2.68 0.05–2.98 | 1.68 0.59–2.77 0.30–3.06 | 3.20 0.94–5.45 0.35–6.04 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.10 0.05–2.15 0.00–2.41 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.18 1.01–5.36 0.45–5.92 | 19% 21% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.23 0.79–3.66 0.40–4.05 | 5.37 3.82–6.93 3.39–7.35 | 7.60 4.61–10.59 3.80–11.40 | 84% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.