Eredivisie·Regular Season - 20·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.242.80safe0.58–2.520.39–2.100.97–4.62safer0.33–2.770.16–2.330.49–5.10
Shots on target
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.294.239.52safe3.42–7.152.49–5.975.91–13.12safer2.93–7.642.02–6.444.96–14.08
Total shots
77%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2611.8628.11safe12.33–20.188.30–15.4220.63–35.60safer11.24–21.277.34–16.3818.58–37.65
Shots in box
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction9.857.5217.37safe6.90–12.794.84–10.2011.75–22.99safer6.07–13.624.10–10.9410.18–24.56
Blocked shots
59%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.673.538.21safe2.79–6.561.88–5.194.67–11.74safer2.25–7.101.39–5.683.64–12.78
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.634.3810.01safe3.42–7.852.38–6.385.80–14.22safer2.85–8.421.84–6.914.69–15.33
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.6945.72safe48.90–62.4838.94–52.51safer47.23–64.1537.27–54.18
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction500372872safe433–567306–438738–1006safer415–585288–456703–1041
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction69.8869.22safe65.85–73.9164.90–73.55safer64.56–75.2063.59–74.86
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0311.3922.42safe8.20–13.878.45–14.3316.64–28.21safer7.44–14.637.70–15.0815.14–29.71
Offsides
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.513.06safe0.39–2.710.42–2.610.81–5.31safer0.08–3.010.13–2.900.22–5.90
Yellow cards
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.733.29safe0.50–2.600.61–2.861.11–5.47safer0.24–2.870.31–3.150.55–6.02
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
33%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.953.566.51safe1.51–4.382.01–5.123.52–9.50safer1.12–4.771.58–5.542.70–10.31
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 1.24 0.39–2.10 0.16–2.33 | 2.80 0.97–4.62 0.49–5.10 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.29 3.42–7.15 2.93–7.64 | 4.23 2.49–5.97 2.02–6.44 | 9.52 5.91–13.12 4.96–14.08 | 57% 31% |
| Total shots | 16.26 12.33–20.18 11.24–21.27 | 11.86 8.30–15.42 7.34–16.38 | 28.11 20.63–35.60 18.58–37.65 | 77% 18% |
| Shots in box | 9.85 6.90–12.79 6.07–13.62 | 7.52 4.84–10.20 4.10–10.94 | 17.37 11.75–22.99 10.18–24.56 | 67% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 4.67 2.79–6.56 2.25–7.10 | 3.53 1.88–5.19 1.39–5.68 | 8.21 4.67–11.74 3.64–12.78 | 59% 13% 28% |
| Corners | 5.63 3.42–7.85 2.85–8.42 | 4.38 2.38–6.38 1.84–6.91 | 10.01 5.80–14.22 4.69–15.33 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 55.69 48.90–62.48 47.23–64.15 | 45.72 38.94–52.51 37.27–54.18 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 500 433–567 415–585 | 372 306–438 288–456 | 872 738–1006 703–1041 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.88 65.85–73.91 64.56–75.20 | 69.22 64.90–73.55 63.59–74.86 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 11.03 8.20–13.87 7.44–14.63 | 11.39 8.45–14.33 7.70–15.08 | 22.42 16.64–28.21 15.14–29.71 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.08–3.01 | 1.51 0.42–2.61 0.13–2.90 | 3.06 0.81–5.31 0.22–5.90 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 1.73 0.61–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 3.29 1.11–5.47 0.55–6.02 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.95 1.51–4.38 1.12–4.77 | 3.56 2.01–5.12 1.58–5.54 | 6.51 3.52–9.50 2.70–10.31 | 33% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.