Eredivisie·Regular Season - 20·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
18%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.471.153.61safe1.50–3.430.29–2.001.79–5.44safer1.25–3.690.07–2.231.31–5.92
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction7.343.8111.16safe5.48–9.202.07–5.567.55–14.76safer4.99–9.691.61–6.026.60–15.72
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction20.4310.8831.31safe16.50–24.357.32–14.4523.83–38.80safer15.41–25.446.36–15.4121.77–40.85
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction13.477.3120.78safe10.52–16.414.63–10.0015.16–26.40safer9.69–17.243.90–10.7313.59–27.97
Blocked shots
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.223.278.48safe3.33–7.101.61–4.924.95–12.02safer2.79–7.641.12–5.413.91–13.05
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.354.0610.41safe4.14–8.562.06–6.066.20–14.63safer3.56–9.141.53–6.605.09–15.73
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction54.2945.79safe47.50–61.0839.01–52.58safer45.83–62.7537.34–54.25
Passes
76%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction515428943safe448–582362–495809–1077safer429–600344–512774–1112
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction75.6373.85safe71.60–79.6669.53–78.18safer70.31–80.9568.22–79.48
Fouls
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4410.4219.86safe6.60–12.287.47–13.3614.07–25.64safer5.84–13.036.73–14.1112.57–27.14
Offsides
44%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.573.38safe0.65–2.970.48–2.661.12–5.63safer0.35–3.270.19–2.950.54–6.22
Yellow cards
23%
23%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.131.862.99safe0.08–2.180.73–2.990.81–5.17safer0.00–2.450.44–3.280.25–5.72
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.724.607.32safe1.28–4.153.05–6.164.33–10.31safer0.89–4.542.62–6.583.52–11.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.47 1.50–3.43 1.25–3.69 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.07–2.23 | 3.61 1.79–5.44 1.31–5.92 | 66% 18% 16% |
| Shots on target | 7.34 5.48–9.20 4.99–9.69 | 3.81 2.07–5.56 1.61–6.02 | 11.16 7.55–14.76 6.60–15.72 | 82% |
| Total shots | 20.43 16.50–24.35 15.41–25.44 | 10.88 7.32–14.45 6.36–15.41 | 31.31 23.83–38.80 21.77–40.85 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 13.47 10.52–16.41 9.69–17.24 | 7.31 4.63–10.00 3.90–10.73 | 20.78 15.16–26.40 13.59–27.97 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 5.22 3.33–7.10 2.79–7.64 | 3.27 1.61–4.92 1.12–5.41 | 8.48 4.95–12.02 3.91–13.05 | 69% 20% |
| Corners | 6.35 4.14–8.56 3.56–9.14 | 4.06 2.06–6.06 1.53–6.60 | 10.41 6.20–14.63 5.09–15.73 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 54.29 47.50–61.08 45.83–62.75 | 45.79 39.01–52.58 37.34–54.25 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 515 448–582 429–600 | 428 362–495 344–512 | 943 809–1077 774–1112 | 76% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.63 71.60–79.66 70.31–80.95 | 73.85 69.53–78.18 68.22–79.48 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 9.44 6.60–12.28 5.84–13.03 | 10.42 7.47–13.36 6.73–14.11 | 19.86 14.07–25.64 12.57–27.14 | 37% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.57 0.48–2.66 0.19–2.95 | 3.38 1.12–5.63 0.54–6.22 | 44% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.13 0.08–2.18 0.00–2.45 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 2.99 0.81–5.17 0.25–5.72 | 23% 23% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.72 1.28–4.15 0.89–4.54 | 4.60 3.05–6.16 2.62–6.58 | 7.32 4.33–10.31 3.52–11.12 | 19% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.