Eredivisie·Regular Season - 21·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
20%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.162.163.32safe0.19–2.131.30–3.011.49–5.14safer0.00–2.381.07–3.241.01–5.62
Shots on target
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.216.0610.27safe2.35–6.074.31–7.806.66–13.87safer1.86–6.563.85–8.265.71–14.83
Total shots
25%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3716.5629.93safe9.44–17.2913.00–20.1322.44–37.42safer8.35–18.3812.04–21.0820.39–39.47
Shots in box
20%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction8.2311.4819.71safe5.29–11.188.79–14.1614.09–25.33safer4.46–12.018.06–14.8912.52–26.90
Blocked shots
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.234.118.34safe2.35–6.112.45–5.764.80–11.87safer1.80–6.651.96–6.253.76–12.91
Corners
27%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.566.0410.60safe2.34–6.774.04–8.046.39–14.81safer1.77–7.343.51–8.585.28–15.92
Possession %
42%
54%
homeawayprediction48.5451.15safe41.75–55.3344.36–57.93safer40.08–57.0042.69–59.60
Passes
52%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction440434874safe373–508367–500741–1008safer355–526350–518705–1044
Pass accuracy %
26%
69%
homeawayprediction66.9771.38safe62.94–71.0067.06–75.71safer61.65–72.3065.75–77.02
Fouls
65%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3610.0022.36safe9.52–15.197.06–12.9516.58–28.14safer8.76–15.956.31–13.7015.07–29.64
Offsides
32%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.723.17safe0.29–2.610.63–2.820.92–5.42safer0.00–2.910.34–3.110.33–6.01
Yellow cards
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.373.00safe0.58–2.680.24–2.500.82–5.18safer0.32–2.950.00–2.790.26–5.74
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
60%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.263.057.32safe2.83–5.701.50–4.614.33–10.31safer2.44–6.091.07–5.043.51–11.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.19–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 2.16 1.30–3.01 1.07–3.24 | 3.32 1.49–5.14 1.01–5.62 | 20% 20% 60% |
| Shots on target | 4.21 2.35–6.07 1.86–6.56 | 6.06 4.31–7.80 3.85–8.26 | 10.27 6.66–13.87 5.71–14.83 | 23% 66% |
| Total shots | 13.37 9.44–17.29 8.35–18.38 | 16.56 13.00–20.13 12.04–21.08 | 29.93 22.44–37.42 20.39–39.47 | 25% 69% |
| Shots in box | 8.23 5.29–11.18 4.46–12.01 | 11.48 8.79–14.16 8.06–14.89 | 19.71 14.09–25.33 12.52–26.90 | 20% 73% |
| Blocked shots | 4.23 2.35–6.11 1.80–6.65 | 4.11 2.45–5.76 1.96–6.25 | 8.34 4.80–11.87 3.76–12.91 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Corners | 4.56 2.34–6.77 1.77–7.34 | 6.04 4.04–8.04 3.51–8.58 | 10.60 6.39–14.81 5.28–15.92 | 27% 62% |
| Possession % | 48.54 41.75–55.33 40.08–57.00 | 51.15 44.36–57.93 42.69–59.60 | — | 42% 54% |
| Passes | 440 373–508 355–526 | 434 367–500 350–518 | 874 741–1008 705–1044 | 52% 48% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.97 62.94–71.00 61.65–72.30 | 71.38 67.06–75.71 65.75–77.02 | — | 26% 69% |
| Fouls | 12.36 9.52–15.19 8.76–15.95 | 10.00 7.06–12.95 6.31–13.70 | 22.36 16.58–28.14 15.07–29.64 | 65% 27% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.72 0.63–2.82 0.34–3.11 | 3.17 0.92–5.42 0.33–6.01 | 32% 23% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.58–2.68 0.32–2.95 | 1.37 0.24–2.50 0.00–2.79 | 3.00 0.82–5.18 0.26–5.74 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 4.26 2.83–5.70 2.44–6.09 | 3.05 1.50–4.61 1.07–5.04 | 7.32 4.33–10.31 3.51–11.12 | 60% 14% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.