Eredivisie·Regular Season - 21·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.673.05safe0.41–2.350.82–2.521.23–4.87safer0.16–2.600.59–2.750.75–5.35
Shots on target
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.355.7610.11safe2.49–6.224.01–7.506.51–13.72safer2.00–6.713.55–7.965.55–14.67
Total shots
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5415.4028.93safe9.61–17.4611.83–18.9621.45–36.42safer8.52–18.5510.87–19.9219.40–38.47
Shots in box
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction8.5510.4619.01safe5.61–11.507.78–13.1413.39–24.63safer4.78–12.337.04–13.8711.82–26.20
Blocked shots
34%
13%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.034.738.75safe2.14–5.913.07–6.385.22–12.29safer1.60–6.452.58–6.874.18–13.32
Corners
38%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.845.3310.18safe2.63–7.063.33–7.335.97–14.39safer2.06–7.632.80–7.874.86–15.50
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction44.9555.51safe38.16–51.7448.72–62.29safer36.49–53.4147.05–63.96
Passes
18%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction417525943safe350–484459–592809–1076safer332–502442–609773–1112
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction71.9079.78safe67.87–75.9375.46–84.11safer66.58–77.2274.15–85.42
Fouls
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3610.5820.94safe7.52–13.207.63–13.5215.16–26.72safer6.77–13.966.88–14.2713.65–28.23
Offsides
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.043.92safe0.73–3.050.94–3.131.67–6.18safer0.42–3.350.65–3.421.08–6.76
Yellow cards
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.503.05safe0.50–2.600.37–2.630.87–5.22safer0.23–2.860.08–2.920.31–5.78
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.472.966.43safe2.03–4.911.41–4.523.44–9.42safer1.65–5.290.98–4.942.63–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.67 0.82–2.52 0.59–2.75 | 3.05 1.23–4.87 0.75–5.35 | 32% 24% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.35 2.49–6.22 2.00–6.71 | 5.76 4.01–7.50 3.55–7.96 | 10.11 6.51–13.72 5.55–14.67 | 27% 61% |
| Total shots | 13.54 9.61–17.46 8.52–18.55 | 15.40 11.83–18.96 10.87–19.92 | 28.93 21.45–36.42 19.40–38.47 | 33% 60% |
| Shots in box | 8.55 5.61–11.50 4.78–12.33 | 10.46 7.78–13.14 7.04–13.87 | 19.01 13.39–24.63 11.82–26.20 | 29% 63% |
| Blocked shots | 4.03 2.14–5.91 1.60–6.45 | 4.73 3.07–6.38 2.58–6.87 | 8.75 5.22–12.29 4.18–13.32 | 34% 13% 53% |
| Corners | 4.84 2.63–7.06 2.06–7.63 | 5.33 3.33–7.33 2.80–7.87 | 10.18 5.97–14.39 4.86–15.50 | 38% 50% |
| Possession % | 44.95 38.16–51.74 36.49–53.41 | 55.51 48.72–62.29 47.05–63.96 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 417 350–484 332–502 | 525 459–592 442–609 | 943 809–1076 773–1112 | 18% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.90 67.87–75.93 66.58–77.22 | 79.78 75.46–84.11 74.15–85.42 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 10.36 7.52–13.20 6.77–13.96 | 10.58 7.63–13.52 6.88–14.27 | 20.94 15.16–26.72 13.65–28.23 | 44% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.42–3.35 | 2.04 0.94–3.13 0.65–3.42 | 3.92 1.67–6.18 1.08–6.76 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.23–2.86 | 1.50 0.37–2.63 0.08–2.92 | 3.05 0.87–5.22 0.31–5.78 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.47 2.03–4.91 1.65–5.29 | 2.96 1.41–4.52 0.98–4.94 | 6.43 3.44–9.42 2.63–10.24 | 50% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.