Eredivisie·Regular Season - 21·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.222.87safe0.69–2.620.36–2.071.05–4.69safer0.44–2.880.13–2.300.57–5.17
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.684.039.71safe3.81–7.542.29–5.776.10–13.31safer3.33–8.031.82–6.245.15–14.27
Total shots
67%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2613.3729.63safe12.34–20.199.80–16.9322.14–37.11safer11.24–21.288.84–17.8920.09–39.16
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction10.368.5218.88safe7.42–13.305.84–11.2013.26–24.50safer6.59–14.135.10–11.9411.69–26.07
Blocked shots
61%
13%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.583.267.84safe2.70–6.461.60–4.914.30–11.37safer2.15–7.011.11–5.403.27–12.41
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.774.9010.67safe3.56–7.982.90–6.906.46–14.89safer2.98–8.562.37–7.445.35–15.99
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction53.9145.06safe47.12–60.7038.27–51.84safer45.45–62.3736.60–53.51
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction470383852safe402–537316–449719–986safer384–555299–467683–1022
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction72.2769.85safe68.25–76.3065.53–74.18safer66.95–77.6064.22–75.49
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2911.6923.97safe9.45–15.138.74–14.6318.19–29.76safer8.69–15.887.99–15.3816.69–31.26
Offsides
33%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.673.09safe0.26–2.580.58–2.770.84–5.34safer0.00–2.880.29–3.050.25–5.93
Yellow cards
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.723.28safe0.51–2.610.59–2.851.10–5.45safer0.24–2.870.30–3.140.54–6.01
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
26%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.934.137.06safe1.49–4.362.57–5.694.06–10.05safer1.10–4.752.15–6.113.25–10.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 0.69–2.62 0.44–2.88 | 1.22 0.36–2.07 0.13–2.30 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.68 3.81–7.54 3.33–8.03 | 4.03 2.29–5.77 1.82–6.24 | 9.71 6.10–13.31 5.15–14.27 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 16.26 12.34–20.19 11.24–21.28 | 13.37 9.80–16.93 8.84–17.89 | 29.63 22.14–37.11 20.09–39.16 | 67% 27% |
| Shots in box | 10.36 7.42–13.30 6.59–14.13 | 8.52 5.84–11.20 5.10–11.94 | 18.88 13.26–24.50 11.69–26.07 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 4.58 2.70–6.46 2.15–7.01 | 3.26 1.60–4.91 1.11–5.40 | 7.84 4.30–11.37 3.27–12.41 | 61% 13% 26% |
| Corners | 5.77 3.56–7.98 2.98–8.56 | 4.90 2.90–6.90 2.37–7.44 | 10.67 6.46–14.89 5.35–15.99 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 53.91 47.12–60.70 45.45–62.37 | 45.06 38.27–51.84 36.60–53.51 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 470 402–537 384–555 | 383 316–449 299–467 | 852 719–986 683–1022 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.27 68.25–76.30 66.95–77.60 | 69.85 65.53–74.18 64.22–75.49 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 12.29 9.45–15.13 8.69–15.88 | 11.69 8.74–14.63 7.99–15.38 | 23.97 18.19–29.76 16.69–31.26 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 1.67 0.58–2.77 0.29–3.05 | 3.09 0.84–5.34 0.25–5.93 | 33% 24% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.24–2.87 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.28 1.10–5.45 0.54–6.01 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.93 1.49–4.36 1.10–4.75 | 4.13 2.57–5.69 2.15–6.11 | 7.06 4.06–10.05 3.25–10.86 | 26% 14% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.