Eredivisie·Regular Season - 21·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.312.63safe0.35–2.290.46–2.170.81–4.46safer0.10–2.540.23–2.390.33–4.94
Shots on target
48%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.554.218.77safe2.69–6.412.47–5.965.16–12.37safer2.20–6.902.01–6.424.21–13.33
Total shots
57%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9913.5728.56safe11.06–18.9110.01–17.1321.07–36.05safer9.97–20.019.05–18.0919.02–38.10
Shots in box
50%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction9.158.6117.76safe6.21–12.095.93–11.3012.14–23.39safer5.38–12.925.20–12.0310.57–24.95
Blocked shots
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.894.118.00safe2.00–5.772.46–5.764.46–11.53safer1.46–6.311.96–6.263.43–12.57
Corners
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.304.7210.02safe3.08–7.512.72–6.725.81–14.23safer2.51–8.082.19–7.264.70–15.34
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.3050.70safe42.51–56.0943.91–57.48safer40.84–57.7642.24–59.15
Passes
44%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction423440862safe355–490373–506729–996safer337–508356–524693–1032
Pass accuracy %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction66.2370.52safe62.20–70.2666.20–74.84safer60.91–71.5564.89–76.15
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4011.5823.97safe9.56–15.238.63–14.5218.19–29.76safer8.80–15.997.88–15.2716.69–31.26
Offsides
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.172.95safe0.62–2.940.08–2.270.70–5.21safer0.32–3.240.00–2.560.11–5.80
Yellow cards
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.713.34safe0.57–2.670.58–2.841.16–5.52safer0.31–2.940.29–3.130.60–6.07
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.883.256.13safe1.45–4.321.69–4.813.14–9.13safer1.06–4.711.27–5.232.33–9.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.31 0.46–2.17 0.23–2.39 | 2.63 0.81–4.46 0.33–4.94 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.55 2.69–6.41 2.20–6.90 | 4.21 2.47–5.96 2.01–6.42 | 8.77 5.16–12.37 4.21–13.33 | 48% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 14.99 11.06–18.91 9.97–20.01 | 13.57 10.01–17.13 9.05–18.09 | 28.56 21.07–36.05 19.02–38.10 | 57% 36% |
| Shots in box | 9.15 6.21–12.09 5.38–12.92 | 8.61 5.93–11.30 5.20–12.03 | 17.76 12.14–23.39 10.57–24.95 | 50% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 3.89 2.00–5.77 1.46–6.31 | 4.11 2.46–5.76 1.96–6.26 | 8.00 4.46–11.53 3.43–12.57 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Corners | 5.30 3.08–7.51 2.51–8.08 | 4.72 2.72–6.72 2.19–7.26 | 10.02 5.81–14.23 4.70–15.34 | 51% 37% |
| Possession % | 49.30 42.51–56.09 40.84–57.76 | 50.70 43.91–57.48 42.24–59.15 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 423 355–490 337–508 | 440 373–506 356–524 | 862 729–996 693–1032 | 44% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.23 62.20–70.26 60.91–71.55 | 70.52 66.20–74.84 64.89–76.15 | — | 27% 69% |
| Fouls | 12.40 9.56–15.23 8.80–15.99 | 11.58 8.63–14.52 7.88–15.27 | 23.97 18.19–29.76 16.69–31.26 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.17 0.08–2.27 0.00–2.56 | 2.95 0.70–5.21 0.11–5.80 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.31–2.94 | 1.71 0.58–2.84 0.29–3.13 | 3.34 1.16–5.52 0.60–6.07 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.88 1.45–4.32 1.06–4.71 | 3.25 1.69–4.81 1.27–5.23 | 6.13 3.14–9.13 2.33–9.94 | 36% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.