Eredivisie·Regular Season - 22·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.540.923.47safe1.58–3.510.07–1.781.64–5.29safer1.32–3.760.00–2.001.16–5.77
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.713.5110.22safe4.85–8.571.77–5.256.61–13.82safer4.36–9.061.30–5.725.66–14.78
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.358.7927.14safe14.42–22.275.23–12.3619.65–34.63safer13.33–23.364.27–13.3117.60–36.68
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.645.4918.13safe9.70–15.582.81–8.1712.51–23.76safer8.87–16.412.07–8.9110.94–25.32
Blocked shots
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.592.336.92safe2.71–6.480.67–3.983.38–10.46safer2.17–7.020.18–4.472.35–11.49
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.043.3210.36safe4.82–9.251.32–5.326.14–14.57safer4.25–9.820.79–5.855.03–15.68
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction57.6741.44safe50.88–64.4634.66–48.23safer49.21–66.1332.98–49.90
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction559406965safe492–627339–472831–1099safer474–645322–490796–1134
Pass accuracy %
69%
26%
homeawayprediction74.2469.83safe70.21–78.2765.51–74.15safer68.92–79.5664.20–75.46
Fouls
35%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3511.6221.97safe7.52–13.198.67–14.5616.19–27.75safer6.76–13.957.92–15.3114.68–29.26
Offsides
56%
20%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.261.463.73safe1.10–3.430.37–2.561.48–5.98safer0.80–3.730.08–2.850.89–6.57
Yellow cards
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.813.00safe0.14–2.230.69–2.940.82–5.18safer0.00–2.500.39–3.230.26–5.74
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.344.296.63safe0.90–3.772.74–5.853.64–9.62safer0.52–4.162.31–6.272.83–10.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.54 1.58–3.51 1.32–3.76 | 0.92 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.00 | 3.47 1.64–5.29 1.16–5.77 | 72% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.71 4.85–8.57 4.36–9.06 | 3.51 1.77–5.25 1.30–5.72 | 10.22 6.61–13.82 5.66–14.78 | 80% |
| Total shots | 18.35 14.42–22.27 13.33–23.36 | 8.79 5.23–12.36 4.27–13.31 | 27.14 19.65–34.63 17.60–36.68 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.64 9.70–15.58 8.87–16.41 | 5.49 2.81–8.17 2.07–8.91 | 18.13 12.51–23.76 10.94–25.32 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.59 2.71–6.48 2.17–7.02 | 2.33 0.67–3.98 0.18–4.47 | 6.92 3.38–10.46 2.35–11.49 | 75% 14% |
| Corners | 7.04 4.82–9.25 4.25–9.82 | 3.32 1.32–5.32 0.79–5.85 | 10.36 6.14–14.57 5.03–15.68 | 84% |
| Possession % | 57.67 50.88–64.46 49.21–66.13 | 41.44 34.66–48.23 32.98–49.90 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 559 492–627 474–645 | 406 339–472 322–490 | 965 831–1099 796–1134 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.24 70.21–78.27 68.92–79.56 | 69.83 65.51–74.15 64.20–75.46 | — | 69% 26% |
| Fouls | 10.35 7.52–13.19 6.76–13.95 | 11.62 8.67–14.56 7.92–15.31 | 21.97 16.19–27.75 14.68–29.26 | 35% 56% |
| Offsides | 2.26 1.10–3.43 0.80–3.73 | 1.46 0.37–2.56 0.08–2.85 | 3.73 1.48–5.98 0.89–6.57 | 56% 20% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.19 0.14–2.23 0.00–2.50 | 1.81 0.69–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.00 0.82–5.18 0.26–5.74 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.90–3.77 0.52–4.16 | 4.29 2.74–5.85 2.31–6.27 | 6.63 3.64–9.62 2.83–10.44 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.