Eredivisie·Regular Season - 22·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.182.85safe0.71–2.650.32–2.031.03–4.68safer0.46–2.900.09–2.260.55–5.16
Shots on target
53%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.944.179.11safe3.07–6.802.43–5.915.50–12.71safer2.58–7.291.96–6.384.55–13.67
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1312.4627.59safe11.20–19.058.90–16.0320.10–35.08safer10.11–20.147.94–16.9818.05–37.13
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction9.407.9417.34safe6.46–12.355.26–10.6211.72–22.97safer5.63–13.184.52–11.3610.15–24.53
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.753.367.10safe1.87–5.631.70–5.013.57–10.64safer1.32–6.171.21–5.502.53–11.67
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.504.4910.00safe3.29–7.722.49–6.495.78–14.21safer2.72–8.291.96–7.034.68–15.32
Possession %
51%
45%
homeawayprediction50.3549.04safe43.56–57.1442.26–55.83safer41.89–58.8140.59–57.50
Passes
57%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction443420863safe375–510354–486729–996safer357–528336–504693–1032
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction70.1770.98safe66.14–74.2066.66–75.31safer64.85–75.4965.35–76.62
Fouls
22%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5113.7524.26safe7.67–13.3510.80–16.6918.48–30.04safer6.92–14.1110.05–17.4416.97–31.54
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.733.42safe0.53–2.850.63–2.821.17–5.67safer0.23–3.160.34–3.110.58–6.26
Yellow cards
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.472.083.56safe0.43–2.520.95–3.211.38–5.73safer0.16–2.790.66–3.500.82–6.29
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.813.406.21safe1.38–4.251.84–4.963.22–9.21safer0.99–4.641.42–5.382.41–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.68 0.71–2.65 0.46–2.90 | 1.18 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.26 | 2.85 1.03–4.68 0.55–5.16 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.94 3.07–6.80 2.58–7.29 | 4.17 2.43–5.91 1.96–6.38 | 9.11 5.50–12.71 4.55–13.67 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Total shots | 15.13 11.20–19.05 10.11–20.14 | 12.46 8.90–16.03 7.94–16.98 | 27.59 20.10–35.08 18.05–37.13 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 9.40 6.46–12.35 5.63–13.18 | 7.94 5.26–10.62 4.52–11.36 | 17.34 11.72–22.97 10.15–24.53 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.75 1.87–5.63 1.32–6.17 | 3.36 1.70–5.01 1.21–5.50 | 7.10 3.57–10.64 2.53–11.67 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.50 3.29–7.72 2.72–8.29 | 4.49 2.49–6.49 1.96–7.03 | 10.00 5.78–14.21 4.68–15.32 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 50.35 43.56–57.14 41.89–58.81 | 49.04 42.26–55.83 40.59–57.50 | — | 51% 45% |
| Passes | 443 375–510 357–528 | 420 354–486 336–504 | 863 729–996 693–1032 | 57% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.17 66.14–74.20 64.85–75.49 | 70.98 66.66–75.31 65.35–76.62 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 10.51 7.67–13.35 6.92–14.11 | 13.75 10.80–16.69 10.05–17.44 | 24.26 18.48–30.04 16.97–31.54 | 22% 71% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.16 | 1.73 0.63–2.82 0.34–3.11 | 3.42 1.17–5.67 0.58–6.26 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.43–2.52 0.16–2.79 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.56 1.38–5.73 0.82–6.29 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.81 1.38–4.25 0.99–4.64 | 3.40 1.84–4.96 1.42–5.38 | 6.21 3.22–9.21 2.41–10.02 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+