Eredivisie·Regular Season - 23·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
19%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.241.003.24safe1.27–3.210.14–1.851.42–5.06safer1.02–3.460.00–2.080.94–5.54
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.433.419.84safe4.56–8.291.67–5.166.23–13.44safer4.07–8.781.20–5.625.28–14.40
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.599.4528.04safe14.66–22.515.89–13.0220.55–35.53safer13.57–23.604.93–13.9818.50–37.58
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction12.186.6318.81safe9.24–15.123.95–9.3113.18–24.43safer8.41–15.953.21–10.0511.62–26.00
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.852.548.39safe3.97–7.740.88–4.194.85–11.93safer3.43–8.280.39–4.683.82–12.96
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.353.3410.69safe5.14–9.561.34–5.346.48–14.90safer4.56–10.140.81–5.875.37–16.01
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.5436.28safe57.75–71.3329.50–43.07safer56.08–73.0027.83–44.74
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction656342998safe589–723275–408864–1132safer571–741258–426829–1167
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction79.4469.25safe75.41–83.4764.93–73.58safer74.12–84.7663.62–74.89
Fouls
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction8.939.8618.79safe6.09–11.776.91–12.8013.01–24.57safer5.34–12.526.16–13.5511.50–26.07
Offsides
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.653.19safe0.38–2.700.56–2.750.94–5.44safer0.08–3.000.27–3.040.35–6.03
Yellow cards
24%
23%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.883.04safe0.12–2.220.75–3.010.86–5.22safer0.00–2.480.46–3.300.31–5.78
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.030.120.15safe0.00–0.190.00–0.300.00–0.50safer0.00–0.340.00–0.440.00–0.78
GK saves
19%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.504.226.71safe1.06–3.932.66–5.773.72–9.70safer0.67–4.322.24–6.202.91–10.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.24 1.27–3.21 1.02–3.46 | 1.00 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 3.24 1.42–5.06 0.94–5.54 | 65% 19% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.43 4.56–8.29 4.07–8.78 | 3.41 1.67–5.16 1.20–5.62 | 9.84 6.23–13.44 5.28–14.40 | 79% |
| Total shots | 18.59 14.66–22.51 13.57–23.60 | 9.45 5.89–13.02 4.93–13.98 | 28.04 20.55–35.53 18.50–37.58 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.18 9.24–15.12 8.41–15.95 | 6.63 3.95–9.31 3.21–10.05 | 18.81 13.18–24.43 11.62–26.00 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 5.85 3.97–7.74 3.43–8.28 | 2.54 0.88–4.19 0.39–4.68 | 8.39 4.85–11.93 3.82–12.96 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.35 5.14–9.56 4.56–10.14 | 3.34 1.34–5.34 0.81–5.87 | 10.69 6.48–14.90 5.37–16.01 | 86% |
| Possession % | 64.54 57.75–71.33 56.08–73.00 | 36.28 29.50–43.07 27.83–44.74 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 656 589–723 571–741 | 342 275–408 258–426 | 998 864–1132 829–1167 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.44 75.41–83.47 74.12–84.76 | 69.25 64.93–73.58 63.62–74.89 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 8.93 6.09–11.77 5.34–12.52 | 9.86 6.91–12.80 6.16–13.55 | 18.79 13.01–24.57 11.50–26.07 | 37% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 1.65 0.56–2.75 0.27–3.04 | 3.19 0.94–5.44 0.35–6.03 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.17 0.12–2.22 0.00–2.48 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.04 0.86–5.22 0.31–5.78 | 24% 23% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.03 0.00–0.19 0.00–0.34 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.06–3.93 0.67–4.32 | 4.22 2.66–5.77 2.24–6.20 | 6.71 3.72–9.70 2.91–10.52 | 19% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.