Eredivisie·Regular Season - 23·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.420.823.23safe1.45–3.380.00–1.671.41–5.05safer1.20–3.640.00–1.900.93–5.53
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.192.9510.15safe5.33–9.061.21–4.706.54–13.75safer4.84–9.550.74–5.165.59–14.71
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.808.6530.45safe17.88–25.735.09–12.2122.97–37.94safer16.79–26.824.13–13.1720.91–39.99
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction14.206.1020.30safe11.25–17.143.42–8.7814.68–25.92safer10.43–17.972.68–9.5213.11–27.49
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.722.267.98safe3.84–7.600.61–3.914.44–11.51safer3.29–8.150.11–4.403.41–12.55
Corners
93%
homeawaytotalprediction8.653.2911.94safe6.44–10.861.29–5.297.72–16.15safer5.86–11.440.76–5.826.62–17.26
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction65.9334.00safe59.14–72.7227.22–40.79safer57.47–74.3925.54–42.46
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction608331939safe541–675264–397805–1072safer522–693247–415769–1108
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction80.0467.15safe76.01–84.0662.83–71.48safer74.71–85.3661.52–72.79
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8211.4422.27safe7.99–13.668.50–14.3916.48–28.05safer7.23–14.427.75–15.1414.98–29.55
Offsides
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.533.39safe0.71–3.030.43–2.621.14–5.64safer0.40–3.330.14–2.910.55–6.23
Yellow cards
23%
22%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.913.08safe0.12–2.220.78–3.040.90–5.26safer0.00–2.490.49–3.330.34–5.81
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.044.816.86safe0.61–3.483.26–6.373.87–9.85safer0.22–3.872.83–6.793.05–10.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.42 1.45–3.38 1.20–3.64 | 0.82 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.90 | 3.23 1.41–5.05 0.93–5.53 | 73% 17% |
| Shots on target | 7.19 5.33–9.06 4.84–9.55 | 2.95 1.21–4.70 0.74–5.16 | 10.15 6.54–13.75 5.59–14.71 | 88% |
| Total shots | 21.80 17.88–25.73 16.79–26.82 | 8.65 5.09–12.21 4.13–13.17 | 30.45 22.97–37.94 20.91–39.99 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.20 11.25–17.14 10.43–17.97 | 6.10 3.42–8.78 2.68–9.52 | 20.30 14.68–25.92 13.11–27.49 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.72 3.84–7.60 3.29–8.15 | 2.26 0.61–3.91 0.11–4.40 | 7.98 4.44–11.51 3.41–12.55 | 86% |
| Corners | 8.65 6.44–10.86 5.86–11.44 | 3.29 1.29–5.29 0.76–5.82 | 11.94 7.72–16.15 6.62–17.26 | 93% |
| Possession % | 65.93 59.14–72.72 57.47–74.39 | 34.00 27.22–40.79 25.54–42.46 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 608 541–675 522–693 | 331 264–397 247–415 | 939 805–1072 769–1108 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.04 76.01–84.06 74.71–85.36 | 67.15 62.83–71.48 61.52–72.79 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 10.82 7.99–13.66 7.23–14.42 | 11.44 8.50–14.39 7.75–15.14 | 22.27 16.48–28.05 14.98–29.55 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.40–3.33 | 1.53 0.43–2.62 0.14–2.91 | 3.39 1.14–5.64 0.55–6.23 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.17 0.12–2.22 0.00–2.49 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.08 0.90–5.26 0.34–5.81 | 23% 22% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.04 0.61–3.48 0.22–3.87 | 4.81 3.26–6.37 2.83–6.79 | 6.86 3.87–9.85 3.05–10.66 | 81% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.