Eredivisie·Regular Season - 23·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
17%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.471.003.48safe1.50–3.440.15–1.861.65–5.30safer1.25–3.690.00–2.091.18–5.78
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction7.073.8410.91safe5.21–8.932.10–5.587.31–14.52safer4.72–9.421.63–6.056.35–15.47
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction21.9410.6832.62safe18.02–25.877.12–14.2425.14–40.11safer16.93–26.966.16–15.2023.09–42.16
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction14.366.7621.12safe11.42–17.304.08–9.4415.50–26.74safer10.59–18.133.34–10.1813.93–28.31
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.293.209.49safe4.41–8.171.55–4.855.95–13.02safer3.86–8.711.05–5.344.92–14.06
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.953.7811.73safe5.74–10.161.78–5.787.52–15.95safer5.16–10.741.25–6.326.41–17.05
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.4538.91safe54.66–68.2432.13–45.70safer52.99–69.9130.46–47.37
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction559348908safe492–626282–415774–1041safer474–644265–432738–1077
Pass accuracy %
79%
17%
homeawayprediction76.4569.62safe72.42–80.4865.29–73.94safer71.13–81.7763.99–75.25
Fouls
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8111.1420.95safe6.97–12.658.20–14.0915.17–26.74safer6.22–13.407.45–14.8413.67–28.24
Offsides
34%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.633.07safe0.29–2.610.53–2.720.82–5.32safer0.00–2.910.24–3.010.23–5.91
Yellow cards
25%
25%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.041.572.62safe0.00–2.090.45–2.700.44–4.80safer0.00–2.360.15–2.990.00–5.35
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.764.827.58safe1.32–4.193.26–6.374.58–10.57safer0.93–4.582.84–6.803.77–11.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.47 1.50–3.44 1.25–3.69 | 1.00 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 3.48 1.65–5.30 1.18–5.78 | 69% 17% 13% |
| Shots on target | 7.07 5.21–8.93 4.72–9.42 | 3.84 2.10–5.58 1.63–6.05 | 10.91 7.31–14.52 6.35–15.47 | 80% |
| Total shots | 21.94 18.02–25.87 16.93–26.96 | 10.68 7.12–14.24 6.16–15.20 | 32.62 25.14–40.11 23.09–42.16 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 14.36 11.42–17.30 10.59–18.13 | 6.76 4.08–9.44 3.34–10.18 | 21.12 15.50–26.74 13.93–28.31 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 6.29 4.41–8.17 3.86–8.71 | 3.20 1.55–4.85 1.05–5.34 | 9.49 5.95–13.02 4.92–14.06 | 80% |
| Corners | 7.95 5.74–10.16 5.16–10.74 | 3.78 1.78–5.78 1.25–6.32 | 11.73 7.52–15.95 6.41–17.05 | 86% |
| Possession % | 61.45 54.66–68.24 52.99–69.91 | 38.91 32.13–45.70 30.46–47.37 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 559 492–626 474–644 | 348 282–415 265–432 | 908 774–1041 738–1077 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.45 72.42–80.48 71.13–81.77 | 69.62 65.29–73.94 63.99–75.25 | — | 79% 17% |
| Fouls | 9.81 6.97–12.65 6.22–13.40 | 11.14 8.20–14.09 7.45–14.84 | 20.95 15.17–26.74 13.67–28.24 | 34% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.63 0.53–2.72 0.24–3.01 | 3.07 0.82–5.32 0.23–5.91 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.04 0.00–2.09 0.00–2.36 | 1.57 0.45–2.70 0.15–2.99 | 2.62 0.44–4.80 0.00–5.35 | 25% 25% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 4.82 3.26–6.37 2.84–6.80 | 7.58 4.58–10.57 3.77–11.38 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.