Eredivisie·Regular Season - 23·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.542.98safe0.47–2.400.69–2.401.15–4.80safer0.22–2.650.46–2.620.67–5.28
Shots on target
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.044.589.61safe3.18–6.902.83–6.326.01–13.22safer2.69–7.392.37–6.785.05–14.17
Total shots
65%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7213.1828.90safe11.79–19.649.62–16.7521.41–36.39safer10.70–20.748.66–17.7019.36–38.44
Shots in box
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction9.268.7017.96safe6.32–12.206.02–11.3812.33–23.58safer5.49–13.035.28–12.1210.77–25.15
Blocked shots
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.443.908.34safe2.56–6.322.24–5.554.80–11.87safer2.01–6.871.75–6.043.77–12.91
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.174.839.99safe2.96–7.382.83–6.835.78–14.21safer2.38–7.962.29–7.364.67–15.31
Possession %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction51.4948.39safe44.70–58.2841.61–55.18safer43.03–59.9539.94–56.85
Passes
68%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction467411879safe400–535345–478745–1013safer382–553327–495710–1048
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction69.8970.80safe65.86–73.9266.48–75.12safer64.56–75.2165.17–76.43
Fouls
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7911.0122.80safe8.96–14.638.07–13.9617.02–28.59safer8.20–15.397.32–14.7015.52–30.09
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.533.27safe0.57–2.890.44–2.631.01–5.52safer0.27–3.200.15–2.910.42–6.11
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.853.54safe0.64–2.730.72–2.981.36–5.71safer0.37–3.000.43–3.270.80–6.27
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
39%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.213.456.66safe1.78–4.651.89–5.003.66–9.65safer1.39–5.041.46–5.432.85–10.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.40 0.22–2.65 | 1.54 0.69–2.40 0.46–2.62 | 2.98 1.15–4.80 0.67–5.28 | 35% 24% 40% |
| Shots on target | 5.04 3.18–6.90 2.69–7.39 | 4.58 2.83–6.32 2.37–6.78 | 9.61 6.01–13.22 5.05–14.17 | 49% 38% |
| Total shots | 15.72 11.79–19.64 10.70–20.74 | 13.18 9.62–16.75 8.66–17.70 | 28.90 21.41–36.39 19.36–38.44 | 65% 29% |
| Shots in box | 9.26 6.32–12.20 5.49–13.03 | 8.70 6.02–11.38 5.28–12.12 | 17.96 12.33–23.58 10.77–25.15 | 51% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 4.44 2.56–6.32 2.01–6.87 | 3.90 2.24–5.55 1.75–6.04 | 8.34 4.80–11.87 3.77–12.91 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 5.17 2.96–7.38 2.38–7.96 | 4.83 2.83–6.83 2.29–7.36 | 9.99 5.78–14.21 4.67–15.31 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 51.49 44.70–58.28 43.03–59.95 | 48.39 41.61–55.18 39.94–56.85 | — | 55% 40% |
| Passes | 467 400–535 382–553 | 411 345–478 327–495 | 879 745–1013 710–1048 | 68% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.89 65.86–73.92 64.56–75.21 | 70.80 66.48–75.12 65.17–76.43 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 11.79 8.96–14.63 8.20–15.39 | 11.01 8.07–13.96 7.32–14.70 | 22.80 17.02–28.59 15.52–30.09 | 52% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.20 | 1.53 0.44–2.63 0.15–2.91 | 3.27 1.01–5.52 0.42–6.11 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.64–2.73 0.37–3.00 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.54 1.36–5.71 0.80–6.27 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.21 1.78–4.65 1.39–5.04 | 3.45 1.89–5.00 1.46–5.43 | 6.66 3.66–9.65 2.85–10.46 | 39% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+