Eredivisie·Regular Season - 23·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
23%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.213.00safe0.83–2.760.36–2.061.18–4.83safer0.58–3.010.13–2.290.70–5.31
Shots on target
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.584.4710.04safe3.71–7.442.73–6.216.44–13.65safer3.22–7.932.26–6.685.48–14.60
Total shots
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5113.7629.26safe11.58–19.4310.19–17.3221.78–36.75safer10.49–20.529.23–18.2819.72–38.80
Shots in box
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction10.608.5319.14safe7.66–13.555.85–11.2113.51–24.76safer6.83–14.385.12–11.9511.95–26.33
Blocked shots
47%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.933.657.57safe2.04–5.811.99–5.304.04–11.11safer1.50–6.351.50–5.793.00–12.14
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.964.9610.92safe3.74–8.172.96–6.966.71–15.13safer3.17–8.742.43–7.505.60–16.24
Possession %
40%
56%
homeawayprediction48.4151.85safe41.62–55.2045.07–58.64safer39.95–56.8743.40–60.31
Passes
47%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction433441875safe366–501375–508741–1008safer348–519357–525705–1044
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction66.0369.81safe62.00–70.0565.48–74.13safer60.70–71.3564.18–75.44
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9312.1724.10safe9.09–14.779.22–15.1118.31–29.88safer8.33–15.528.47–15.8616.81–31.38
Offsides
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.292.95safe0.50–2.820.20–2.390.70–5.21safer0.20–3.120.00–2.670.11–5.80
Yellow cards
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.693.00safe0.26–2.360.56–2.820.82–5.18safer0.00–2.620.27–3.110.26–5.73
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.163.816.96safe1.72–4.592.25–5.363.97–9.96safer1.33–4.981.83–5.793.16–10.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.79 0.83–2.76 0.58–3.01 | 1.21 0.36–2.06 0.13–2.29 | 3.00 1.18–4.83 0.70–5.31 | 51% 23% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.58 3.71–7.44 3.22–7.93 | 4.47 2.73–6.21 2.26–6.68 | 10.04 6.44–13.65 5.48–14.60 | 57% 30% |
| Total shots | 15.51 11.58–19.43 10.49–20.52 | 13.76 10.19–17.32 9.23–18.28 | 29.26 21.78–36.75 19.72–38.80 | 59% 34% |
| Shots in box | 10.60 7.66–13.55 6.83–14.38 | 8.53 5.85–11.21 5.12–11.95 | 19.14 13.51–24.76 11.95–26.33 | 64% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 3.93 2.04–5.81 1.50–6.35 | 3.65 1.99–5.30 1.50–5.79 | 7.57 4.04–11.11 3.00–12.14 | 47% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.96 3.74–8.17 3.17–8.74 | 4.96 2.96–6.96 2.43–7.50 | 10.92 6.71–15.13 5.60–16.24 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 48.41 41.62–55.20 39.95–56.87 | 51.85 45.07–58.64 43.40–60.31 | — | 40% 56% |
| Passes | 433 366–501 348–519 | 441 375–508 357–525 | 875 741–1008 705–1044 | 47% 52% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.03 62.00–70.05 60.70–71.35 | 69.81 65.48–74.13 64.18–75.44 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 11.93 9.09–14.77 8.33–15.52 | 12.17 9.22–15.11 8.47–15.86 | 24.10 18.31–29.88 16.81–31.38 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.29 0.20–2.39 0.00–2.67 | 2.95 0.70–5.21 0.11–5.80 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.26–2.36 0.00–2.62 | 1.69 0.56–2.82 0.27–3.11 | 3.00 0.82–5.18 0.26–5.73 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.16 1.72–4.59 1.33–4.98 | 3.81 2.25–5.36 1.83–5.79 | 6.96 3.97–9.96 3.16–10.77 | 33% 15% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.