Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.413.17safe0.80–2.730.56–2.261.35–5.00safer0.54–2.980.33–2.490.87–5.48
Shots on target
58%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.464.289.74safe3.60–7.322.54–6.026.14–13.35safer3.11–7.812.07–6.495.18–14.30
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1911.5726.76safe11.26–19.118.01–15.1319.27–34.25safer10.17–20.217.05–16.0917.22–36.30
Shots in box
73%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction10.087.0117.09safe7.13–13.024.33–9.6911.46–22.71safer6.30–13.853.59–10.439.90–24.28
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.163.177.33safe2.28–6.041.51–4.823.79–10.86safer1.73–6.581.02–5.312.76–11.90
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.173.589.75safe3.96–8.381.58–5.585.54–13.97safer3.38–8.961.05–6.124.43–15.07
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.7743.14safe50.98–64.5636.35–49.92safer49.31–66.2334.68–51.59
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction580406986safe513–647340–473852–1120safer495–665322–490817–1155
Pass accuracy %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction75.4571.65safe71.43–79.4867.32–75.97safer70.13–80.7866.01–77.28
Fouls
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9711.1021.08safe7.13–12.818.16–14.0515.29–26.86safer6.38–13.567.41–14.8013.79–28.36
Offsides
35%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.993.78safe0.63–2.950.90–3.081.52–6.03safer0.33–3.250.61–3.370.94–6.62
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.093.60safe0.46–2.560.96–3.211.42–5.78safer0.20–2.830.67–3.510.86–6.33
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.606.23safe1.20–4.072.05–5.163.24–9.23safer0.81–4.461.62–5.582.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.76 0.80–2.73 0.54–2.98 | 1.41 0.56–2.26 0.33–2.49 | 3.17 1.35–5.00 0.87–5.48 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.46 3.60–7.32 3.11–7.81 | 4.28 2.54–6.02 2.07–6.49 | 9.74 6.14–13.35 5.18–14.30 | 58% 29% |
| Total shots | 15.19 11.26–19.11 10.17–20.21 | 11.57 8.01–15.13 7.05–16.09 | 26.76 19.27–34.25 17.22–36.30 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 10.08 7.13–13.02 6.30–13.85 | 7.01 4.33–9.69 3.59–10.43 | 17.09 11.46–22.71 9.90–24.28 | 73% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.16 2.28–6.04 1.73–6.58 | 3.17 1.51–4.82 1.02–5.31 | 7.33 3.79–10.86 2.76–11.90 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 6.17 3.96–8.38 3.38–8.96 | 3.58 1.58–5.58 1.05–6.12 | 9.75 5.54–13.97 4.43–15.07 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 57.77 50.98–64.56 49.31–66.23 | 43.14 36.35–49.92 34.68–51.59 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 580 513–647 495–665 | 406 340–473 322–490 | 986 852–1120 817–1155 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.45 71.43–79.48 70.13–80.78 | 71.65 67.32–75.97 66.01–77.28 | — | 67% 29% |
| Fouls | 9.97 7.13–12.81 6.38–13.56 | 11.10 8.16–14.05 7.41–14.80 | 21.08 15.29–26.86 13.79–28.36 | 36% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 1.99 0.90–3.08 0.61–3.37 | 3.78 1.52–6.03 0.94–6.62 | 35% 21% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.20–2.83 | 2.09 0.96–3.21 0.67–3.51 | 3.60 1.42–5.78 0.86–6.33 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 3.60 2.05–5.16 1.62–5.58 | 6.23 3.24–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+