Eredivisie·Regular Season - 24·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
21%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.031.993.02safe0.06–2.001.13–2.841.20–4.84safer0.00–2.250.91–3.070.72–5.32
Shots on target
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.656.159.79safe1.78–5.514.40–7.896.19–13.40safer1.29–6.003.94–8.355.23–14.35
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9316.5927.52safe7.00–14.8513.03–20.1520.03–35.01safer5.91–15.9512.07–21.1117.98–37.06
Shots in box
17%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction7.2110.7017.91safe4.27–10.158.02–13.3812.29–23.54safer3.44–10.987.28–14.1210.72–25.10
Blocked shots
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.954.927.87safe1.07–4.833.26–6.574.33–11.40safer0.52–5.382.77–7.063.30–12.44
Corners
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction4.145.819.95safe1.93–6.353.81–7.815.73–14.16safer1.35–6.933.27–8.344.62–15.27
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction39.8560.26safe33.06–46.6453.47–67.04safer31.39–48.3151.80–68.71
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction388547935safe321–455481–614801–1069safer303–473463–631766–1104
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction66.3780.21safe62.34–70.4075.88–84.53safer61.05–71.6974.57–85.84
Fouls
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4211.3522.77safe8.59–14.268.41–14.2916.99–28.55safer7.83–15.027.66–15.0415.49–30.06
Offsides
39%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.883.73safe0.69–3.010.79–2.971.48–5.98safer0.39–3.310.50–3.260.89–6.57
Yellow cards
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.863.61safe0.70–2.800.73–2.991.43–5.79safer0.43–3.070.44–3.280.87–6.35
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.372.536.90safe2.94–5.810.97–4.093.91–9.89safer2.55–6.200.55–4.513.10–10.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.03 0.06–2.00 0.00–2.25 | 1.99 1.13–2.84 0.91–3.07 | 3.02 1.20–4.84 0.72–5.32 | 19% 21% 60% |
| Shots on target | 3.65 1.78–5.51 1.29–6.00 | 6.15 4.40–7.89 3.94–8.35 | 9.79 6.19–13.40 5.23–14.35 | 17% 74% |
| Total shots | 10.93 7.00–14.85 5.91–15.95 | 16.59 13.03–20.15 12.07–21.11 | 27.52 20.03–35.01 17.98–37.06 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 7.21 4.27–10.15 3.44–10.98 | 10.70 8.02–13.38 7.28–14.12 | 17.91 12.29–23.54 10.72–25.10 | 17% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 2.95 1.07–4.83 0.52–5.38 | 4.92 3.26–6.57 2.77–7.06 | 7.87 4.33–11.40 3.30–12.44 | 19% 70% |
| Corners | 4.14 1.93–6.35 1.35–6.93 | 5.81 3.81–7.81 3.27–8.34 | 9.95 5.73–14.16 4.62–15.27 | 24% 64% |
| Possession % | 39.85 33.06–46.64 31.39–48.31 | 60.26 53.47–67.04 51.80–68.71 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 388 321–455 303–473 | 547 481–614 463–631 | 935 801–1069 766–1104 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.37 62.34–70.40 61.05–71.69 | 80.21 75.88–84.53 74.57–85.84 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.42 8.59–14.26 7.83–15.02 | 11.35 8.41–14.29 7.66–15.04 | 22.77 16.99–28.55 15.49–30.06 | 46% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 1.88 0.79–2.97 0.50–3.26 | 3.73 1.48–5.98 0.89–6.57 | 39% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.43–3.07 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.61 1.43–5.79 0.87–6.35 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 4.37 2.94–5.81 2.55–6.20 | 2.53 0.97–4.09 0.55–4.51 | 6.90 3.91–9.89 3.10–10.71 | 69% 18% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.