Eredivisie·Regular Season - 24·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
26%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.282.64safe0.40–2.340.42–2.130.82–4.47safer0.15–2.590.19–2.360.34–4.94
Shots on target
47%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.654.338.98safe2.79–6.512.59–6.075.37–12.58safer2.30–7.002.12–6.544.42–13.54
Total shots
61%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6412.6227.26safe10.72–18.579.06–16.1819.77–34.75safer9.62–19.668.10–17.1417.72–36.80
Shots in box
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction8.948.1617.10safe6.00–11.885.48–10.8411.48–22.72safer5.17–12.714.74–11.589.91–24.29
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.913.347.26safe2.03–5.801.69–4.993.72–10.79safer1.49–6.341.20–5.492.69–11.83
Corners
45%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.095.0110.09safe2.87–7.303.01–7.015.88–14.31safer2.30–7.872.47–7.544.77–15.41
Possession %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction52.2247.78safe45.43–59.0141.00–54.57safer43.76–60.6839.33–56.24
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction451408859safe384–518341–474725–992safer365–536324–492689–1028
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction68.9270.16safe64.89–72.9565.83–74.48safer63.59–74.2464.53–75.79
Fouls
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3013.8124.12safe7.47–13.1410.87–16.7618.34–29.90safer6.71–13.9010.12–17.5116.83–31.40
Offsides
32%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.713.14safe0.27–2.590.61–2.800.88–5.39safer0.00–2.890.33–3.090.29–5.98
Yellow cards
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.983.48safe0.45–2.550.86–3.111.30–5.66safer0.18–2.810.56–3.400.75–6.22
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.963.286.25safe1.53–4.401.73–4.843.26–9.24safer1.14–4.791.30–5.272.44–10.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.28 0.42–2.13 0.19–2.36 | 2.64 0.82–4.47 0.34–4.94 | 39% 26% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.65 2.79–6.51 2.30–7.00 | 4.33 2.59–6.07 2.12–6.54 | 8.98 5.37–12.58 4.42–13.54 | 47% 13% 39% |
| Total shots | 14.64 10.72–18.57 9.62–19.66 | 12.62 9.06–16.18 8.10–17.14 | 27.26 19.77–34.75 17.72–36.80 | 61% 31% |
| Shots in box | 8.94 6.00–11.88 5.17–12.71 | 8.16 5.48–10.84 4.74–11.58 | 17.10 11.48–22.72 9.91–24.29 | 53% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.91 2.03–5.80 1.49–6.34 | 3.34 1.69–4.99 1.20–5.49 | 7.26 3.72–10.79 2.69–11.83 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.09 2.87–7.30 2.30–7.87 | 5.01 3.01–7.01 2.47–7.54 | 10.09 5.88–14.31 4.77–15.41 | 45% 43% |
| Possession % | 52.22 45.43–59.01 43.76–60.68 | 47.78 41.00–54.57 39.33–56.24 | — | 58% 37% |
| Passes | 451 384–518 365–536 | 408 341–474 324–492 | 859 725–992 689–1028 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.92 64.89–72.95 63.59–74.24 | 70.16 65.83–74.48 64.53–75.79 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 10.30 7.47–13.14 6.71–13.90 | 13.81 10.87–16.76 10.12–17.51 | 24.12 18.34–29.90 16.83–31.40 | 21% 73% |
| Offsides | 1.43 0.27–2.59 0.00–2.89 | 1.71 0.61–2.80 0.33–3.09 | 3.14 0.88–5.39 0.29–5.98 | 32% 23% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.18–2.81 | 1.98 0.86–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.75–6.22 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.96 1.53–4.40 1.14–4.79 | 3.28 1.73–4.84 1.30–5.27 | 6.25 3.26–9.24 2.44–10.05 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+