Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.803.16safe0.39–2.330.94–2.651.34–4.98safer0.14–2.580.72–2.880.86–5.46
Shots on target
34%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction5.065.9611.03safe3.20–6.934.22–7.717.42–14.63safer2.71–7.423.76–8.176.47–15.59
Total shots
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7916.4031.19safe10.86–18.7112.84–19.9623.70–38.68safer9.77–19.8111.88–20.9221.65–40.73
Shots in box
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction9.3810.8620.25safe6.44–12.328.18–13.5514.62–25.87safer5.61–13.157.45–14.2813.06–27.44
Blocked shots
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.224.628.84safe2.34–6.112.97–6.275.31–12.38safer1.80–6.652.48–6.774.27–13.41
Corners
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction5.416.1111.51safe3.19–7.624.11–8.117.30–15.73safer2.62–8.193.57–8.646.19–16.83
Possession %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction46.3553.58safe39.56–53.1446.79–60.36safer37.89–54.8145.12–62.03
Passes
33%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction406458864safe338–473392–525730–998safer320–491374–542695–1033
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction64.9571.82safe60.92–68.9867.50–76.15safer59.63–70.2766.19–77.46
Fouls
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6010.0120.61safe7.76–13.447.07–12.9614.83–26.39safer7.01–14.196.32–13.7113.33–27.90
Offsides
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.492.86safe0.21–2.530.40–2.590.61–5.12safer0.00–2.830.11–2.870.02–5.71
Yellow cards
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.462.89safe0.38–2.470.34–2.590.71–5.07safer0.11–2.740.04–2.880.15–5.63
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
52%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.883.257.13safe2.44–5.311.70–4.814.14–10.12safer2.05–5.701.27–5.233.33–10.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 1.80 0.94–2.65 0.72–2.88 | 3.16 1.34–4.98 0.86–5.46 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Shots on target | 5.06 3.20–6.93 2.71–7.42 | 5.96 4.22–7.71 3.76–8.17 | 11.03 7.42–14.63 6.47–15.59 | 34% 55% |
| Total shots | 14.79 10.86–18.71 9.77–19.81 | 16.40 12.84–19.96 11.88–20.92 | 31.19 23.70–38.68 21.65–40.73 | 35% 58% |
| Shots in box | 9.38 6.44–12.32 5.61–13.15 | 10.86 8.18–13.55 7.45–14.28 | 20.25 14.62–25.87 13.06–27.44 | 33% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 4.22 2.34–6.11 1.80–6.65 | 4.62 2.97–6.27 2.48–6.77 | 8.84 5.31–12.38 4.27–13.41 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Corners | 5.41 3.19–7.62 2.62–8.19 | 6.11 4.11–8.11 3.57–8.64 | 11.51 7.30–15.73 6.19–16.83 | 36% 52% |
| Possession % | 46.35 39.56–53.14 37.89–54.81 | 53.58 46.79–60.36 45.12–62.03 | — | 31% 64% |
| Passes | 406 338–473 320–491 | 458 392–525 374–542 | 864 730–998 695–1033 | 33% 67% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.95 60.92–68.98 59.63–70.27 | 71.82 67.50–76.15 66.19–77.46 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 10.60 7.76–13.44 7.01–14.19 | 10.01 7.07–12.96 6.32–13.71 | 20.61 14.83–26.39 13.33–27.90 | 51% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.37 0.21–2.53 0.00–2.83 | 1.49 0.40–2.59 0.11–2.87 | 2.86 0.61–5.12 0.02–5.71 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.38–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 1.46 0.34–2.59 0.04–2.88 | 2.89 0.71–5.07 0.15–5.63 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.88 2.44–5.31 2.05–5.70 | 3.25 1.70–4.81 1.27–5.23 | 7.13 4.14–10.12 3.33–10.94 | 52% 15% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.