Eredivisie·Regular Season - 25·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.922.723.64safe0.00–1.891.86–3.571.81–5.46safer0.00–2.141.64–3.801.33–5.94
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction3.447.5010.94safe1.58–5.305.76–9.247.33–14.54safer1.09–5.795.29–9.716.38–15.50
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4019.4129.81safe6.48–14.3315.85–22.9722.32–37.30safer5.39–15.4214.89–23.9320.27–39.35
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction6.4513.7220.16safe3.50–9.3911.04–16.4014.54–25.79safer2.68–10.2210.30–17.1412.97–27.35
Blocked shots
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.875.368.23safe0.99–4.763.70–7.014.70–11.77safer0.45–5.303.21–7.503.66–12.80
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction3.456.9710.42safe1.23–5.664.97–8.976.20–14.63safer0.66–6.234.44–9.505.10–15.74
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction36.5963.61safe29.80–43.3856.82–70.39safer28.13–45.0555.15–72.06
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction354596949safe286–421529–662815–1083safer268–439512–679780–1118
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction63.5779.99safe59.54–67.6075.66–84.31safer58.25–68.8974.35–85.62
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction12.029.6121.63safe9.18–14.856.67–12.5615.84–27.41safer8.42–15.615.92–13.3014.34–28.91
Offsides
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.032.234.26safe0.87–3.191.13–3.322.01–6.51safer0.57–3.490.85–3.611.42–7.10
Yellow cards
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.122.80safe0.63–2.730.00–2.250.62–4.97safer0.36–3.000.00–2.540.06–5.53
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.642.437.07safe3.20–6.070.88–3.994.08–10.06safer2.81–6.460.45–4.413.26–10.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.92 0.00–1.89 0.00–2.14 | 2.72 1.86–3.57 1.64–3.80 | 3.64 1.81–5.46 1.33–5.94 | 15% 75% |
| Shots on target | 3.44 1.58–5.30 1.09–5.79 | 7.50 5.76–9.24 5.29–9.71 | 10.94 7.33–14.54 6.38–15.50 | 86% |
| Total shots | 10.40 6.48–14.33 5.39–15.42 | 19.41 15.85–22.97 14.89–23.93 | 29.81 22.32–37.30 20.27–39.35 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 6.45 3.50–9.39 2.68–10.22 | 13.72 11.04–16.40 10.30–17.14 | 20.16 14.54–25.79 12.97–27.35 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 2.87 0.99–4.76 0.45–5.30 | 5.36 3.70–7.01 3.21–7.50 | 8.23 4.70–11.77 3.66–12.80 | 15% 76% |
| Corners | 3.45 1.23–5.66 0.66–6.23 | 6.97 4.97–8.97 4.44–9.50 | 10.42 6.20–14.63 5.10–15.74 | 83% |
| Possession % | 36.59 29.80–43.38 28.13–45.05 | 63.61 56.82–70.39 55.15–72.06 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 354 286–421 268–439 | 596 529–662 512–679 | 949 815–1083 780–1118 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.57 59.54–67.60 58.25–68.89 | 79.99 75.66–84.31 74.35–85.62 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 12.02 9.18–14.85 8.42–15.61 | 9.61 6.67–12.56 5.92–13.30 | 21.63 15.84–27.41 14.34–28.91 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 2.03 0.87–3.19 0.57–3.49 | 2.23 1.13–3.32 0.85–3.61 | 4.26 2.01–6.51 1.42–7.10 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.36–3.00 | 1.12 0.00–2.25 0.00–2.54 | 2.80 0.62–4.97 0.06–5.53 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.64 3.20–6.07 2.81–6.46 | 2.43 0.88–3.99 0.45–4.41 | 7.07 4.08–10.06 3.26–10.87 | 74% 15% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.