Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.042.75safe0.75–2.680.18–1.890.93–4.57safer0.49–2.930.00–2.120.45–5.05
Shots on target
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.903.409.30safe4.04–7.771.65–5.145.70–12.91safer3.55–8.261.19–5.614.74–13.86
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4110.6527.06safe12.49–20.347.08–14.2119.57–34.55safer11.40–21.436.12–15.1717.52–36.60
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.807.4718.27safe7.86–13.744.79–10.1512.65–23.89safer7.03–14.574.05–10.8911.08–25.46
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.833.057.88safe2.95–6.721.40–4.704.35–11.42safer2.41–7.260.90–5.203.31–12.45
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction6.174.5910.75safe3.95–8.382.59–6.596.54–14.97safer3.38–8.952.05–7.125.43–16.07
Possession %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction56.1542.94safe49.36–62.9436.16–49.73safer47.69–64.6134.49–51.40
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction493357850safe426–560291–424717–984safer408–578273–441681–1020
Pass accuracy %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction71.9567.63safe67.92–75.9863.31–71.96safer66.63–77.2762.00–73.27
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3011.4522.75safe8.46–14.148.51–14.4016.97–28.53safer7.71–14.897.76–15.1515.46–30.04
Offsides
41%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.272.71safe0.28–2.600.17–2.360.45–4.96safer0.00–2.900.00–2.650.00–5.55
Yellow cards
28%
24%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.722.98safe0.21–2.310.59–2.850.80–5.16safer0.00–2.570.30–3.140.24–5.71
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.534.306.83safe1.09–3.972.75–5.863.84–9.82safer0.71–4.352.32–6.283.03–10.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.71 0.75–2.68 0.49–2.93 | 1.04 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.75 0.93–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 53% 24% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.90 4.04–7.77 3.55–8.26 | 3.40 1.65–5.14 1.19–5.61 | 9.30 5.70–12.91 4.74–13.86 | 75% 16% |
| Total shots | 16.41 12.49–20.34 11.40–21.43 | 10.65 7.08–14.21 6.12–15.17 | 27.06 19.57–34.55 17.52–36.60 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 10.80 7.86–13.74 7.03–14.57 | 7.47 4.79–10.15 4.05–10.89 | 18.27 12.65–23.89 11.08–25.46 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.83 2.95–6.72 2.41–7.26 | 3.05 1.40–4.70 0.90–5.20 | 7.88 4.35–11.42 3.31–12.45 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 6.17 3.95–8.38 3.38–8.95 | 4.59 2.59–6.59 2.05–7.12 | 10.75 6.54–14.97 5.43–16.07 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 56.15 49.36–62.94 47.69–64.61 | 42.94 36.16–49.73 34.49–51.40 | — | 76% 20% |
| Passes | 493 426–560 408–578 | 357 291–424 273–441 | 850 717–984 681–1020 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.95 67.92–75.98 66.63–77.27 | 67.63 63.31–71.96 62.00–73.27 | — | 69% 27% |
| Fouls | 11.30 8.46–14.14 7.71–14.89 | 11.45 8.51–14.40 7.76–15.15 | 22.75 16.97–28.53 15.46–30.04 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.90 | 1.27 0.17–2.36 0.00–2.65 | 2.71 0.45–4.96 0.00–5.55 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.26 0.21–2.31 0.00–2.57 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 2.98 0.80–5.16 0.24–5.71 | 28% 24% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.09–3.97 0.71–4.35 | 4.30 2.75–5.86 2.32–6.28 | 6.83 3.84–9.82 3.03–10.64 | 19% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.