Eredivisie·Regular Season - 25·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.130.924.05safe2.16–4.100.06–1.772.23–5.87safer1.91–4.350.00–2.001.75–6.35
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction8.913.3312.24safe7.05–10.781.59–5.078.64–15.85safer6.56–11.271.12–5.547.68–16.80
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction23.858.8532.70safe19.93–27.775.28–12.4125.21–40.18safer18.83–28.874.32–13.3723.16–42.23
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction15.876.0421.90safe12.92–18.813.35–8.7216.28–27.53safer12.10–19.642.62–9.4514.71–29.09
Blocked shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction6.382.128.50safe4.50–8.260.47–3.784.96–12.04safer3.95–8.800.00–4.273.93–13.07
Corners
93%
homeawaytotalprediction8.693.1411.83safe6.48–10.901.14–5.147.62–16.04safer5.90–11.480.61–5.676.51–17.15
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction67.3531.29safe60.56–74.1424.50–38.07safer58.89–75.8122.83–39.75
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction662306968safe595–729240–373835–1102safer577–747222–390799–1138
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction79.2766.41safe75.24–83.3062.09–70.74safer73.95–84.5960.78–72.05
Fouls
25%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction8.8211.3120.14safe5.99–11.668.37–14.2614.35–25.92safer5.23–12.427.62–15.0112.85–27.42
Offsides
46%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.192.78safe0.42–2.740.10–2.290.52–5.03safer0.12–3.040.00–2.580.00–5.62
Yellow cards
14%
20%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction0.822.022.84safe0.00–1.870.89–3.150.66–5.02safer0.00–2.140.60–3.440.10–5.57
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
88%
homeawaytotalprediction2.195.978.16safe0.75–3.634.42–7.535.17–11.15safer0.37–4.013.99–7.954.36–11.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.13 2.16–4.10 1.91–4.35 | 0.92 0.06–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 4.05 2.23–5.87 1.75–6.35 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 8.91 7.05–10.78 6.56–11.27 | 3.33 1.59–5.07 1.12–5.54 | 12.24 8.64–15.85 7.68–16.80 | 93% |
| Total shots | 23.85 19.93–27.77 18.83–28.87 | 8.85 5.28–12.41 4.32–13.37 | 32.70 25.21–40.18 23.16–42.23 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 15.87 12.92–18.81 12.10–19.64 | 6.04 3.35–8.72 2.62–9.45 | 21.90 16.28–27.53 14.71–29.09 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 6.38 4.50–8.26 3.95–8.80 | 2.12 0.47–3.78 0.00–4.27 | 8.50 4.96–12.04 3.93–13.07 | 91% |
| Corners | 8.69 6.48–10.90 5.90–11.48 | 3.14 1.14–5.14 0.61–5.67 | 11.83 7.62–16.04 6.51–17.15 | 93% |
| Possession % | 67.35 60.56–74.14 58.89–75.81 | 31.29 24.50–38.07 22.83–39.75 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 662 595–729 577–747 | 306 240–373 222–390 | 968 835–1102 799–1138 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.27 75.24–83.30 73.95–84.59 | 66.41 62.09–70.74 60.78–72.05 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 8.82 5.99–11.66 5.23–12.42 | 11.31 8.37–14.26 7.62–15.01 | 20.14 14.35–25.92 12.85–27.42 | 25% 67% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 1.19 0.10–2.29 0.00–2.58 | 2.78 0.52–5.03 0.00–5.62 | 46% 25% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 0.82 0.00–1.87 0.00–2.14 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 2.84 0.66–5.02 0.10–5.57 | 14% 20% 65% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.19 0.75–3.63 0.37–4.01 | 5.97 4.42–7.53 3.99–7.95 | 8.16 5.17–11.15 4.36–11.97 | 88% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.