Eredivisie·Regular Season - 25·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.333.05safe0.75–2.690.47–2.181.23–4.87safer0.50–2.940.25–2.410.75–5.35
Shots on target
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.474.439.90safe3.61–7.332.69–6.176.30–13.51safer3.12–7.822.22–6.645.34–14.46
Total shots
67%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8913.0328.92safe11.96–19.819.47–16.6021.44–36.41safer10.87–20.908.51–17.5619.38–38.46
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction10.158.6718.82safe7.21–13.095.99–11.3513.19–24.44safer6.38–13.925.25–12.0811.63–26.01
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.363.527.88safe2.48–6.241.87–5.174.34–11.42safer1.94–6.791.37–5.663.31–12.45
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.824.7310.55safe3.61–8.032.73–6.736.34–14.76safer3.03–8.612.19–7.265.23–15.87
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.3744.28safe48.58–62.1637.49–51.06safer46.91–63.8335.82–52.73
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction474382856safe407–541316–449723–990safer389–559298–466687–1026
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction72.0871.71safe68.05–76.1167.39–76.03safer66.76–77.4066.08–77.34
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0813.3026.38safe10.24–15.9110.36–16.2420.59–32.16safer9.48–16.679.61–16.9919.09–33.66
Offsides
34%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.683.14safe0.30–2.620.59–2.770.89–5.40safer0.00–2.930.30–3.060.30–5.99
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.933.62safe0.64–2.740.80–3.061.44–5.80safer0.37–3.000.51–3.350.89–6.36
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
31%
15%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.973.756.73safe1.54–4.412.20–5.313.73–9.72safer1.15–4.801.77–5.732.92–10.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.72 0.75–2.69 0.50–2.94 | 1.33 0.47–2.18 0.25–2.41 | 3.05 1.23–4.87 0.75–5.35 | 47% 24% 30% |
| Shots on target | 5.47 3.61–7.33 3.12–7.82 | 4.43 2.69–6.17 2.22–6.64 | 9.90 6.30–13.51 5.34–14.46 | 57% 31% |
| Total shots | 15.89 11.96–19.81 10.87–20.90 | 13.03 9.47–16.60 8.51–17.56 | 28.92 21.44–36.41 19.38–38.46 | 67% 27% |
| Shots in box | 10.15 7.21–13.09 6.38–13.92 | 8.67 5.99–11.35 5.25–12.08 | 18.82 13.19–24.44 11.63–26.01 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 4.36 2.48–6.24 1.94–6.79 | 3.52 1.87–5.17 1.37–5.66 | 7.88 4.34–11.42 3.31–12.45 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.82 3.61–8.03 3.03–8.61 | 4.73 2.73–6.73 2.19–7.26 | 10.55 6.34–14.76 5.23–15.87 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 55.37 48.58–62.16 46.91–63.83 | 44.28 37.49–51.06 35.82–52.73 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 474 407–541 389–559 | 382 316–449 298–466 | 856 723–990 687–1026 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.08 68.05–76.11 66.76–77.40 | 71.71 67.39–76.03 66.08–77.34 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 13.08 10.24–15.91 9.48–16.67 | 13.30 10.36–16.24 9.61–16.99 | 26.38 20.59–32.16 19.09–33.66 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.93 | 1.68 0.59–2.77 0.30–3.06 | 3.14 0.89–5.40 0.30–5.99 | 34% 24% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.37–3.00 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.62 1.44–5.80 0.89–6.36 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.97 1.54–4.41 1.15–4.80 | 3.75 2.20–5.31 1.77–5.73 | 6.73 3.73–9.72 2.92–10.53 | 31% 15% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.