Eredivisie·Regular Season - 26·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.820.693.51safe1.85–3.790.00–1.541.69–5.33safer1.60–4.040.00–1.771.21–5.81
Shots on target
94%
homeawaytotalprediction7.492.369.86safe5.63–9.360.62–4.116.25–13.46safer5.14–9.840.16–4.575.30–14.42
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.137.4627.59safe16.21–24.063.90–11.0220.11–35.08safer15.12–25.152.94–11.9818.06–37.13
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.074.8117.89safe10.13–16.022.13–7.4912.27–23.51safer9.30–16.851.40–8.2310.70–25.08
Blocked shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction5.951.927.87safe4.07–7.840.26–3.574.34–11.41safer3.53–8.380.00–4.063.30–12.44
Corners
95%
homeawaytotalprediction8.432.5610.99safe6.21–10.640.56–4.566.77–15.20safer5.64–11.210.03–5.095.67–16.31
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction69.4930.40safe62.70–76.2823.62–37.19safer61.03–77.9521.94–38.86
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction695294989safe628–763227–360856–1123safer610–781210–378820–1159
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction82.2165.67safe78.18–86.2461.34–69.99safer76.89–87.5360.03–71.30
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2710.4119.68safe6.44–12.117.47–13.3613.90–25.47safer5.68–12.876.72–14.1012.40–26.97
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.633.25safe0.46–2.780.54–2.731.00–5.50safer0.16–3.080.25–3.010.41–6.09
Yellow cards
18%
21%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.022.063.08safe0.00–2.070.93–3.190.90–5.26safer0.00–2.340.64–3.480.34–5.81
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.030.100.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.76
GK saves
81%
homeawaytotalprediction1.794.476.26safe0.35–3.232.91–6.033.27–9.25safer0.00–3.612.49–6.452.45–10.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.82 1.85–3.79 1.60–4.04 | 0.69 0.00–1.54 0.00–1.77 | 3.51 1.69–5.33 1.21–5.81 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 7.49 5.63–9.36 5.14–9.84 | 2.36 0.62–4.11 0.16–4.57 | 9.86 6.25–13.46 5.30–14.42 | 94% |
| Total shots | 20.13 16.21–24.06 15.12–25.15 | 7.46 3.90–11.02 2.94–11.98 | 27.59 20.11–35.08 18.06–37.13 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.07 10.13–16.02 9.30–16.85 | 4.81 2.13–7.49 1.40–8.23 | 17.89 12.27–23.51 10.70–25.08 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.95 4.07–7.84 3.53–8.38 | 1.92 0.26–3.57 0.00–4.06 | 7.87 4.34–11.41 3.30–12.44 | 90% |
| Corners | 8.43 6.21–10.64 5.64–11.21 | 2.56 0.56–4.56 0.03–5.09 | 10.99 6.77–15.20 5.67–16.31 | 95% |
| Possession % | 69.49 62.70–76.28 61.03–77.95 | 30.40 23.62–37.19 21.94–38.86 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 695 628–763 610–781 | 294 227–360 210–378 | 989 856–1123 820–1159 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.21 78.18–86.24 76.89–87.53 | 65.67 61.34–69.99 60.03–71.30 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 9.27 6.44–12.11 5.68–12.87 | 10.41 7.47–13.36 6.72–14.10 | 19.68 13.90–25.47 12.40–26.97 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.63 0.54–2.73 0.25–3.01 | 3.25 1.00–5.50 0.41–6.09 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.02 0.00–2.07 0.00–2.34 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.08 0.90–5.26 0.34–5.81 | 18% 21% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.03 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 1.79 0.35–3.23 0.00–3.61 | 4.47 2.91–6.03 2.49–6.45 | 6.26 3.27–9.25 2.45–10.06 | 81% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.