Eredivisie·Regular Season - 26·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
68%
18%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.401.003.39safe1.43–3.360.14–1.851.57–5.22safer1.18–3.610.00–2.081.09–5.70
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.403.4310.83safe5.54–9.261.69–5.177.22–14.43safer5.05–9.751.22–5.646.27–15.39
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction21.649.3430.98safe17.72–25.575.77–12.9023.49–38.47safer16.63–26.664.82–13.8621.44–40.52
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction13.616.4120.02safe10.67–16.553.73–9.0914.40–25.64safer9.84–17.382.99–9.8312.83–27.21
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.892.568.44safe4.00–7.770.90–4.214.91–11.98safer3.46–8.310.41–4.703.87–13.01
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.883.2411.12safe5.66–10.091.24–5.246.90–15.33safer5.09–10.670.71–5.775.80–16.44
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.0335.89safe57.24–70.8229.11–42.68safer55.57–72.4927.44–44.35
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction601348949safe533–668282–415815–1083safer515–686264–432780–1118
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction80.1367.79safe76.11–84.1663.47–72.12safer74.81–85.4662.16–73.43
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6911.2421.93safe7.86–13.538.29–14.1816.15–27.71safer7.10–14.297.54–14.9314.64–29.22
Offsides
43%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.583.36safe0.62–2.940.49–2.681.11–5.61safer0.32–3.240.20–2.960.52–6.20
Yellow cards
22%
23%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.061.772.83safe0.01–2.110.65–2.900.65–5.01safer0.00–2.370.35–3.190.10–5.57
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.374.977.34safe0.94–3.813.41–6.534.35–10.33safer0.55–4.192.99–6.953.54–11.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.40 1.43–3.36 1.18–3.61 | 1.00 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 3.39 1.57–5.22 1.09–5.70 | 68% 18% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.40 5.54–9.26 5.05–9.75 | 3.43 1.69–5.17 1.22–5.64 | 10.83 7.22–14.43 6.27–15.39 | 86% |
| Total shots | 21.64 17.72–25.57 16.63–26.66 | 9.34 5.77–12.90 4.82–13.86 | 30.98 23.49–38.47 21.44–40.52 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.61 10.67–16.55 9.84–17.38 | 6.41 3.73–9.09 2.99–9.83 | 20.02 14.40–25.64 12.83–27.21 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 5.89 4.00–7.77 3.46–8.31 | 2.56 0.90–4.21 0.41–4.70 | 8.44 4.91–11.98 3.87–13.01 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.88 5.66–10.09 5.09–10.67 | 3.24 1.24–5.24 0.71–5.77 | 11.12 6.90–15.33 5.80–16.44 | 90% |
| Possession % | 64.03 57.24–70.82 55.57–72.49 | 35.89 29.11–42.68 27.44–44.35 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 601 533–668 515–686 | 348 282–415 264–432 | 949 815–1083 780–1118 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.13 76.11–84.16 74.81–85.46 | 67.79 63.47–72.12 62.16–73.43 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 10.69 7.86–13.53 7.10–14.29 | 11.24 8.29–14.18 7.54–14.93 | 21.93 16.15–27.71 14.64–29.22 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.58 0.49–2.68 0.20–2.96 | 3.36 1.11–5.61 0.52–6.20 | 43% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.06 0.01–2.11 0.00–2.37 | 1.77 0.65–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 2.83 0.65–5.01 0.10–5.57 | 22% 23% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.37 0.94–3.81 0.55–4.19 | 4.97 3.41–6.53 2.99–6.95 | 7.34 4.35–10.33 3.54–11.15 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.