Eredivisie·Regular Season - 26·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
22%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.262.013.28safe0.29–2.231.16–2.871.45–5.10safer0.04–2.480.93–3.100.97–5.58
Shots on target
24%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction4.185.9510.13safe2.32–6.044.21–7.696.53–13.74safer1.83–6.533.74–8.165.57–14.69
Total shots
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1115.9928.10safe8.18–16.0312.43–19.5620.61–35.59safer7.09–17.1211.47–20.5218.56–37.64
Shots in box
22%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction7.7710.6318.40safe4.83–10.727.95–13.3112.78–24.03safer4.00–11.557.21–14.0511.21–25.59
Blocked shots
23%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.274.828.09safe1.39–5.153.17–6.484.56–11.63safer0.85–5.702.68–6.973.52–12.66
Corners
39%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.865.2510.11safe2.64–7.073.25–7.255.89–14.32safer2.07–7.642.72–7.784.78–15.43
Possession %
23%
74%
homeawayprediction44.3055.96safe37.51–51.0949.17–62.74safer35.84–52.7647.50–64.41
Passes
19%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction427531959safe360–495465–598825–1092safer342–513447–615789–1128
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction65.5474.85safe61.51–69.5770.53–79.17safer60.22–70.8669.22–80.48
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5610.3119.87safe6.72–12.397.37–13.2614.09–25.65safer5.96–13.156.62–14.0012.58–27.15
Offsides
42%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.473.10safe0.47–2.790.37–2.560.84–5.35safer0.17–3.090.09–2.850.25–5.94
Yellow cards
36%
26%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.402.73safe0.28–2.380.27–2.530.55–4.90safer0.01–2.640.00–2.820.00–5.46
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.060.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.250.00–0.47safer0.00–0.370.00–0.380.00–0.76
GK saves
52%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.693.036.72safe2.26–5.131.47–4.583.73–9.71safer1.87–5.521.05–5.012.91–10.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 2.01 1.16–2.87 0.93–3.10 | 3.28 1.45–5.10 0.97–5.58 | 24% 22% 55% |
| Shots on target | 4.18 2.32–6.04 1.83–6.53 | 5.95 4.21–7.69 3.74–8.16 | 10.13 6.53–13.74 5.57–14.69 | 24% 65% |
| Total shots | 12.11 8.18–16.03 7.09–17.12 | 15.99 12.43–19.56 11.47–20.52 | 28.10 20.61–35.59 18.56–37.64 | 20% 74% |
| Shots in box | 7.77 4.83–10.72 4.00–11.55 | 10.63 7.95–13.31 7.21–14.05 | 18.40 12.78–24.03 11.21–25.59 | 22% 71% |
| Blocked shots | 3.27 1.39–5.15 0.85–5.70 | 4.82 3.17–6.48 2.68–6.97 | 8.09 4.56–11.63 3.52–12.66 | 23% 64% |
| Corners | 4.86 2.64–7.07 2.07–7.64 | 5.25 3.25–7.25 2.72–7.78 | 10.11 5.89–14.32 4.78–15.43 | 39% 49% |
| Possession % | 44.30 37.51–51.09 35.84–52.76 | 55.96 49.17–62.74 47.50–64.41 | — | 23% 74% |
| Passes | 427 360–495 342–513 | 531 465–598 447–615 | 959 825–1092 789–1128 | 19% 81% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.54 61.51–69.57 60.22–70.86 | 74.85 70.53–79.17 69.22–80.48 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 9.56 6.72–12.39 5.96–13.15 | 10.31 7.37–13.26 6.62–14.00 | 19.87 14.09–25.65 12.58–27.15 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 1.47 0.37–2.56 0.09–2.85 | 3.10 0.84–5.35 0.25–5.94 | 42% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.28–2.38 0.01–2.64 | 1.40 0.27–2.53 0.00–2.82 | 2.73 0.55–4.90 0.00–5.46 | 36% 26% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.69 2.26–5.13 1.87–5.52 | 3.03 1.47–4.58 1.05–5.01 | 6.72 3.73–9.71 2.91–10.52 | 52% 15% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+