Eredivisie·Regular Season - 26·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
20%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.033.11safe1.12–3.050.17–1.881.29–4.94safer0.87–3.310.00–2.110.81–5.41
Shots on target
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.273.8510.13safe4.41–8.142.11–5.606.52–13.73safer3.92–8.621.65–6.065.57–14.69
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction19.6211.6431.26safe15.69–23.548.07–15.2023.77–38.74safer14.60–24.647.11–16.1621.72–40.79
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction13.697.3621.05safe10.75–16.634.68–10.0415.42–26.67safer9.92–17.463.94–10.7813.86–28.24
Blocked shots
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.673.218.89safe3.79–7.551.56–4.875.35–12.42safer3.25–8.101.07–5.364.31–13.46
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction7.454.0211.47safe5.24–9.662.02–6.027.26–15.69safer4.66–10.241.49–6.566.15–16.79
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.8141.18safe53.02–66.6034.39–47.96safer51.35–68.2732.72–49.63
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction526370897safe459–594304–437763–1030safer441–612286–454727–1066
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction76.1471.11safe72.11–80.1766.78–75.43safer70.82–81.4665.47–76.74
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8310.8721.70safe8.00–13.677.92–13.8115.92–27.48safer7.24–14.437.18–14.5614.42–28.99
Offsides
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.593.26safe0.51–2.830.50–2.681.00–5.51safer0.21–3.130.21–2.970.41–6.10
Yellow cards
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.743.09safe0.29–2.390.62–2.870.91–5.27safer0.03–2.660.32–3.160.35–5.82
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
20%
13%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.494.146.63safe1.06–3.932.58–5.693.64–9.62safer0.67–4.322.16–6.122.83–10.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.09 1.12–3.05 0.87–3.31 | 1.03 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 3.11 1.29–4.94 0.81–5.41 | 62% 20% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.27 4.41–8.14 3.92–8.62 | 3.85 2.11–5.60 1.65–6.06 | 10.13 6.52–13.73 5.57–14.69 | 73% 18% |
| Total shots | 19.62 15.69–23.54 14.60–24.64 | 11.64 8.07–15.20 7.11–16.16 | 31.26 23.77–38.74 21.72–40.79 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 13.69 10.75–16.63 9.92–17.46 | 7.36 4.68–10.04 3.94–10.78 | 21.05 15.42–26.67 13.86–28.24 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 5.67 3.79–7.55 3.25–8.10 | 3.21 1.56–4.87 1.07–5.36 | 8.89 5.35–12.42 4.31–13.46 | 75% 16% |
| Corners | 7.45 5.24–9.66 4.66–10.24 | 4.02 2.02–6.02 1.49–6.56 | 11.47 7.26–15.69 6.15–16.79 | 81% |
| Possession % | 59.81 53.02–66.60 51.35–68.27 | 41.18 34.39–47.96 32.72–49.63 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 526 459–594 441–612 | 370 304–437 286–454 | 897 763–1030 727–1066 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.14 72.11–80.17 70.82–81.46 | 71.11 66.78–75.43 65.47–76.74 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 10.83 8.00–13.67 7.24–14.43 | 10.87 7.92–13.81 7.18–14.56 | 21.70 15.92–27.48 14.42–28.99 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 1.59 0.50–2.68 0.21–2.97 | 3.26 1.00–5.51 0.41–6.10 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.34 0.29–2.39 0.03–2.66 | 1.74 0.62–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.09 0.91–5.27 0.35–5.82 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.06–3.93 0.67–4.32 | 4.14 2.58–5.69 2.16–6.12 | 6.63 3.64–9.62 2.83–10.44 | 20% 13% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+