Eredivisie·Regular Season - 26·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.932.993.92safe0.00–1.892.14–3.852.10–5.74safer0.00–2.151.91–4.081.62–6.22
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction3.387.7811.16safe1.52–5.246.04–9.537.56–14.77safer1.03–5.735.57–9.996.60–15.72
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4119.0629.46safe6.48–14.3315.49–22.6221.98–36.95safer5.39–15.4214.54–23.5819.92–39.00
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.0512.4419.49safe4.11–9.999.76–15.1213.87–25.11safer3.28–10.829.02–15.8612.30–26.68
Blocked shots
31%
15%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.963.746.70safe1.07–4.842.09–5.403.16–10.24safer0.53–5.381.60–5.892.13–11.27
Corners
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.796.7210.51safe1.58–6.004.72–8.726.30–14.73safer1.00–6.584.19–9.265.19–15.83
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction36.5463.80safe29.75–43.3357.02–70.59safer28.08–45.0055.35–72.26
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction348573921safe281–415506–639787–1054safer263–433489–657751–1090
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction62.9179.25safe58.88–66.9474.92–83.57safer57.59–68.2473.61–84.88
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7511.2721.01safe6.91–12.588.32–14.2115.23–26.80safer6.15–13.347.57–14.9613.73–28.30
Offsides
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.442.85safe0.25–2.570.35–2.530.60–5.11safer0.00–2.870.06–2.820.01–5.69
Yellow cards
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.503.04safe0.49–2.590.37–2.630.86–5.22safer0.22–2.850.08–2.920.30–5.77
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
77%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction4.812.377.18safe3.37–6.250.81–3.924.18–10.17safer2.99–6.630.39–4.353.37–10.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.93 0.00–1.89 0.00–2.15 | 2.99 2.14–3.85 1.91–4.08 | 3.92 2.10–5.74 1.62–6.22 | 79% |
| Shots on target | 3.38 1.52–5.24 1.03–5.73 | 7.78 6.04–9.53 5.57–9.99 | 11.16 7.56–14.77 6.60–15.72 | 88% |
| Total shots | 10.41 6.48–14.33 5.39–15.42 | 19.06 15.49–22.62 14.54–23.58 | 29.46 21.98–36.95 19.92–39.00 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 7.05 4.11–9.99 3.28–10.82 | 12.44 9.76–15.12 9.02–15.86 | 19.49 13.87–25.11 12.30–26.68 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 2.96 1.07–4.84 0.53–5.38 | 3.74 2.09–5.40 1.60–5.89 | 6.70 3.16–10.24 2.13–11.27 | 31% 15% 54% |
| Corners | 3.79 1.58–6.00 1.00–6.58 | 6.72 4.72–8.72 4.19–9.26 | 10.51 6.30–14.73 5.19–15.83 | 14% 77% |
| Possession % | 36.54 29.75–43.33 28.08–45.00 | 63.80 57.02–70.59 55.35–72.26 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 348 281–415 263–433 | 573 506–639 489–657 | 921 787–1054 751–1090 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.91 58.88–66.94 57.59–68.24 | 79.25 74.92–83.57 73.61–84.88 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 9.75 6.91–12.58 6.15–13.34 | 11.27 8.32–14.21 7.57–14.96 | 21.01 15.23–26.80 13.73–28.30 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.87 | 1.44 0.35–2.53 0.06–2.82 | 2.85 0.60–5.11 0.01–5.69 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.22–2.85 | 1.50 0.37–2.63 0.08–2.92 | 3.04 0.86–5.22 0.30–5.77 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.81 3.37–6.25 2.99–6.63 | 2.37 0.81–3.92 0.39–4.35 | 7.18 4.18–10.17 3.37–10.98 | 77% 13% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.