Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.482.94safe0.49–2.420.63–2.341.12–4.76safer0.24–2.680.40–2.560.64–5.24
Shots on target
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.855.2110.07safe2.99–6.713.47–6.966.46–13.67safer2.50–7.203.01–7.425.51–14.63
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2014.7628.96safe10.27–18.1211.20–18.3321.47–36.45safer9.18–19.2110.24–19.2919.42–38.50
Shots in box
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction9.749.3419.08safe6.80–12.696.66–12.0213.46–24.71safer5.97–13.525.92–12.7611.89–26.27
Blocked shots
36%
13%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.154.728.87safe2.26–6.033.07–6.375.33–12.40safer1.72–6.572.58–6.874.29–13.44
Corners
39%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction5.335.7211.05safe3.11–7.543.72–7.726.84–15.26safer2.54–8.113.19–8.265.73–16.37
Possession %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction45.5853.06safe38.79–52.3746.28–59.85safer37.12–54.0444.61–61.52
Passes
36%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction417460878safe350–485394–527744–1011safer332–503376–544708–1047
Pass accuracy %
16%
80%
homeawayprediction63.7670.88safe59.73–67.7866.55–75.20safer58.43–69.0865.24–76.51
Fouls
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1510.1922.34safe9.32–14.997.25–13.1316.56–28.13safer8.56–15.756.50–13.8815.06–29.63
Offsides
40%
26%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.232.59safe0.21–2.530.13–2.320.34–4.85safer0.00–2.830.00–2.610.00–5.44
Yellow cards
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.503.04safe0.49–2.590.37–2.630.86–5.22safer0.22–2.850.08–2.920.30–5.78
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
47%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.603.266.87safe2.17–5.041.71–4.823.88–9.86safer1.78–5.431.28–5.243.06–10.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.42 0.24–2.68 | 1.48 0.63–2.34 0.40–2.56 | 2.94 1.12–4.76 0.64–5.24 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.85 2.99–6.71 2.50–7.20 | 5.21 3.47–6.96 3.01–7.42 | 10.07 6.46–13.67 5.51–14.63 | 39% 48% |
| Total shots | 14.20 10.27–18.12 9.18–19.21 | 14.76 11.20–18.33 10.24–19.29 | 28.96 21.47–36.45 19.42–38.50 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 9.74 6.80–12.69 5.97–13.52 | 9.34 6.66–12.02 5.92–12.76 | 19.08 13.46–24.71 11.89–26.27 | 49% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 4.15 2.26–6.03 1.72–6.57 | 4.72 3.07–6.37 2.58–6.87 | 8.87 5.33–12.40 4.29–13.44 | 36% 13% 51% |
| Corners | 5.33 3.11–7.54 2.54–8.11 | 5.72 3.72–7.72 3.19–8.26 | 11.05 6.84–15.26 5.73–16.37 | 39% 49% |
| Possession % | 45.58 38.79–52.37 37.12–54.04 | 53.06 46.28–59.85 44.61–61.52 | — | 31% 65% |
| Passes | 417 350–485 332–503 | 460 394–527 376–544 | 878 744–1011 708–1047 | 36% 64% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.76 59.73–67.78 58.43–69.08 | 70.88 66.55–75.20 65.24–76.51 | — | 16% 80% |
| Fouls | 12.15 9.32–14.99 8.56–15.75 | 10.19 7.25–13.13 6.50–13.88 | 22.34 16.56–28.13 15.06–29.63 | 62% 30% |
| Offsides | 1.37 0.21–2.53 0.00–2.83 | 1.23 0.13–2.32 0.00–2.61 | 2.59 0.34–4.85 0.00–5.44 | 40% 26% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.22–2.85 | 1.50 0.37–2.63 0.08–2.92 | 3.04 0.86–5.22 0.30–5.78 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.60 2.17–5.04 1.78–5.43 | 3.26 1.71–4.82 1.28–5.24 | 6.87 3.88–9.86 3.06–10.67 | 47% 15% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+