Predicted match statistics
Goals
80%
homeawaytotalprediction1.093.304.39safe0.12–2.062.45–4.162.57–6.22safer0.00–2.312.22–4.392.09–6.70
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction3.588.0611.64safe1.72–5.446.32–9.808.03–15.24safer1.23–5.935.85–10.277.08–16.20
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0920.3631.45safe7.17–15.0216.79–23.9223.96–38.94safer6.08–16.1115.84–24.8821.91–40.99
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction6.2214.1020.33safe3.28–9.1611.42–16.7914.70–25.95safer2.45–9.9910.69–17.5213.14–27.52
Blocked shots
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.275.368.64safe1.39–5.163.71–7.015.10–12.17safer0.85–5.703.22–7.514.06–13.21
Corners
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.977.0511.02safe1.76–6.185.05–9.056.80–15.23safer1.18–6.764.51–9.585.70–16.34
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction40.4060.32safe33.61–47.1953.54–67.11safer31.94–48.8651.86–68.78
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction372544916safe305–439477–610782–1050safer287–458460–628747–1085
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction62.9577.34safe58.92–66.9873.02–81.67safer57.63–68.2771.71–82.98
Fouls
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction9.549.7019.25safe6.71–12.386.76–12.6513.46–25.03safer5.95–13.146.01–13.3911.96–26.53
Offsides
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.593.29safe0.54–2.860.50–2.691.04–5.54safer0.23–3.160.21–2.970.45–6.13
Yellow cards
42%
26%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.222.67safe0.40–2.500.10–2.350.49–4.85safer0.13–2.760.00–2.640.00–5.41
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.932.537.45safe3.49–6.360.97–4.084.46–10.45safer3.10–6.750.55–4.513.65–11.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.06 0.00–2.31 | 3.30 2.45–4.16 2.22–4.39 | 4.39 2.57–6.22 2.09–6.70 | 80% |
| Shots on target | 3.58 1.72–5.44 1.23–5.93 | 8.06 6.32–9.80 5.85–10.27 | 11.64 8.03–15.24 7.08–16.20 | 88% |
| Total shots | 11.09 7.17–15.02 6.08–16.11 | 20.36 16.79–23.92 15.84–24.88 | 31.45 23.96–38.94 21.91–40.99 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 6.22 3.28–9.16 2.45–9.99 | 14.10 11.42–16.79 10.69–17.52 | 20.33 14.70–25.95 13.14–27.52 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 3.27 1.39–5.16 0.85–5.70 | 5.36 3.71–7.01 3.22–7.51 | 8.64 5.10–12.17 4.06–13.21 | 19% 71% |
| Corners | 3.97 1.76–6.18 1.18–6.76 | 7.05 5.05–9.05 4.51–9.58 | 11.02 6.80–15.23 5.70–16.34 | 14% 78% |
| Possession % | 40.40 33.61–47.19 31.94–48.86 | 60.32 53.54–67.11 51.86–68.78 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 372 305–439 287–458 | 544 477–610 460–628 | 916 782–1050 747–1085 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.95 58.92–66.98 57.63–68.27 | 77.34 73.02–81.67 71.71–82.98 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 9.54 6.71–12.38 5.95–13.14 | 9.70 6.76–12.65 6.01–13.39 | 19.25 13.46–25.03 11.96–26.53 | 44% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.23–3.16 | 1.59 0.50–2.69 0.21–2.97 | 3.29 1.04–5.54 0.45–6.13 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.50 0.13–2.76 | 1.22 0.10–2.35 0.00–2.64 | 2.67 0.49–4.85 0.00–5.41 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.93 3.49–6.36 3.10–6.75 | 2.53 0.97–4.08 0.55–4.51 | 7.45 4.46–10.45 3.65–11.26 | 76% 14% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.