Eredivisie·Regular Season - 27·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
19%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.260.943.19safe1.29–3.220.08–1.791.37–5.01safer1.04–3.480.00–2.020.89–5.49
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.933.3210.25safe5.07–8.791.58–5.066.64–13.85safer4.58–9.281.11–5.535.69–14.81
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.209.0329.23safe16.27–24.125.47–12.5921.74–36.71safer15.18–25.214.51–13.5519.69–38.77
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction13.366.6019.96safe10.42–16.313.92–9.2814.34–25.58safer9.59–17.133.18–10.0112.77–27.15
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.692.378.07safe3.81–7.580.72–4.034.53–11.60safer3.27–8.120.23–4.523.50–12.64
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.753.5511.30safe5.54–9.971.55–5.557.09–15.52safer4.97–10.541.02–6.085.98–16.62
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction64.6034.86safe57.81–71.3928.07–41.64safer56.14–73.0626.40–43.32
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction611334945safe544–678267–400811–1078safer526–696250–418775–1114
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction78.8967.98safe74.87–82.9263.66–72.30safer73.57–84.2262.35–73.61
Fouls
24%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0811.7820.87safe6.25–11.928.84–14.7315.08–26.65safer5.49–12.688.09–15.4713.58–28.15
Offsides
44%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.583.40safe0.66–2.980.49–2.671.15–5.66safer0.36–3.280.20–2.960.56–6.24
Yellow cards
20%
25%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction0.891.632.51safe0.00–1.930.50–2.750.33–4.69safer0.00–2.200.21–3.050.00–5.25
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.185.017.20safe0.75–3.623.46–6.574.21–10.19safer0.36–4.013.03–6.993.39–11.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.26 1.29–3.22 1.04–3.48 | 0.94 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 3.19 1.37–5.01 0.89–5.49 | 67% 19% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.93 5.07–8.79 4.58–9.28 | 3.32 1.58–5.06 1.11–5.53 | 10.25 6.64–13.85 5.69–14.81 | 84% |
| Total shots | 20.20 16.27–24.12 15.18–25.21 | 9.03 5.47–12.59 4.51–13.55 | 29.23 21.74–36.71 19.69–38.77 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.36 10.42–16.31 9.59–17.13 | 6.60 3.92–9.28 3.18–10.01 | 19.96 14.34–25.58 12.77–27.15 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 5.69 3.81–7.58 3.27–8.12 | 2.37 0.72–4.03 0.23–4.52 | 8.07 4.53–11.60 3.50–12.64 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.75 5.54–9.97 4.97–10.54 | 3.55 1.55–5.55 1.02–6.08 | 11.30 7.09–15.52 5.98–16.62 | 87% |
| Possession % | 64.60 57.81–71.39 56.14–73.06 | 34.86 28.07–41.64 26.40–43.32 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 611 544–678 526–696 | 334 267–400 250–418 | 945 811–1078 775–1114 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.89 74.87–82.92 73.57–84.22 | 67.98 63.66–72.30 62.35–73.61 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 9.08 6.25–11.92 5.49–12.68 | 11.78 8.84–14.73 8.09–15.47 | 20.87 15.08–26.65 13.58–28.15 | 24% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 1.58 0.49–2.67 0.20–2.96 | 3.40 1.15–5.66 0.56–6.24 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 0.89 0.00–1.93 0.00–2.20 | 1.63 0.50–2.75 0.21–3.05 | 2.51 0.33–4.69 0.00–5.25 | 20% 25% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.18 0.75–3.62 0.36–4.01 | 5.01 3.46–6.57 3.03–6.99 | 7.20 4.21–10.19 3.39–11.00 | 81% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.