Eredivisie·Regular Season - 27·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.402.89safe0.53–2.470.54–2.251.07–4.72safer0.28–2.720.31–2.480.59–5.20
Shots on target
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.244.749.99safe3.38–7.113.00–6.486.38–13.59safer2.89–7.602.53–6.955.43–14.55
Total shots
70%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction16.9113.4930.40safe12.99–20.849.93–17.0522.92–37.89safer11.90–21.938.97–18.0120.87–39.94
Shots in box
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction10.329.0019.31safe7.37–13.266.32–11.6813.69–24.94safer6.54–14.095.58–12.4212.12–26.50
Blocked shots
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.483.828.30safe2.59–6.362.17–5.474.76–11.83safer2.05–6.901.67–5.963.72–12.87
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.515.2510.76safe3.29–7.723.25–7.256.54–14.97safer2.72–8.292.72–7.785.44–16.08
Possession %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction52.1547.73safe45.36–58.9440.95–54.52safer43.69–60.6139.28–56.19
Passes
73%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction466391857safe399–533324–457723–991safer381–551307–475688–1026
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction68.1569.33safe64.12–72.1865.01–73.65safer62.83–73.4763.70–74.96
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2510.8923.14safe9.42–15.097.94–13.8317.36–28.92safer8.66–15.857.19–14.5815.85–30.43
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.623.21safe0.43–2.750.53–2.710.96–5.47safer0.13–3.050.24–3.000.37–6.06
Yellow cards
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.382.89safe0.46–2.560.25–2.510.71–5.06safer0.19–2.820.00–2.800.15–5.62
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
40%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.523.717.23safe2.08–4.952.16–5.274.24–10.22safer1.69–5.341.73–5.693.42–11.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 1.40 0.54–2.25 0.31–2.48 | 2.89 1.07–4.72 0.59–5.20 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Shots on target | 5.24 3.38–7.11 2.89–7.60 | 4.74 3.00–6.48 2.53–6.95 | 9.99 6.38–13.59 5.43–14.55 | 50% 37% |
| Total shots | 16.91 12.99–20.84 11.90–21.93 | 13.49 9.93–17.05 8.97–18.01 | 30.40 22.92–37.89 20.87–39.94 | 70% 24% |
| Shots in box | 10.32 7.37–13.26 6.54–14.09 | 9.00 6.32–11.68 5.58–12.42 | 19.31 13.69–24.94 12.12–26.50 | 57% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 4.48 2.59–6.36 2.05–6.90 | 3.82 2.17–5.47 1.67–5.96 | 8.30 4.76–11.83 3.72–12.87 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Corners | 5.51 3.29–7.72 2.72–8.29 | 5.25 3.25–7.25 2.72–7.78 | 10.76 6.54–14.97 5.44–16.08 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 52.15 45.36–58.94 43.69–60.61 | 47.73 40.95–54.52 39.28–56.19 | — | 58% 37% |
| Passes | 466 399–533 381–551 | 391 324–457 307–475 | 857 723–991 688–1026 | 73% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.15 64.12–72.18 62.83–73.47 | 69.33 65.01–73.65 63.70–74.96 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 12.25 9.42–15.09 8.66–15.85 | 10.89 7.94–13.83 7.19–14.58 | 23.14 17.36–28.92 15.85–30.43 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 1.62 0.53–2.71 0.24–3.00 | 3.21 0.96–5.47 0.37–6.06 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.19–2.82 | 1.38 0.25–2.51 0.00–2.80 | 2.89 0.71–5.06 0.15–5.62 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.52 2.08–4.95 1.69–5.34 | 3.71 2.16–5.27 1.73–5.69 | 7.23 4.24–10.22 3.42–11.03 | 40% 15% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.