Predicted match statistics
Goals
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.810.783.59safe1.84–3.770.00–1.641.76–5.41safer1.59–4.030.00–1.861.29–5.89
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.552.7710.32safe5.69–9.421.03–4.516.72–13.93safer5.20–9.900.56–4.985.76–14.88
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.478.5829.05safe16.54–24.395.02–12.1421.56–36.53safer15.45–25.484.06–13.1019.51–38.58
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction14.514.8419.35safe11.57–17.462.16–7.5213.73–24.97safer10.74–18.291.42–8.2612.16–26.54
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.052.197.25safe3.17–6.940.54–3.843.71–10.78safer2.63–7.480.05–4.342.67–11.82
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.662.9910.65safe5.45–9.880.99–4.996.44–14.86safer4.87–10.450.46–5.525.33–15.97
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.4735.54safe57.68–71.2628.75–42.32safer56.01–72.9327.08–43.99
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction615342957safe547–682275–408823–1090safer529–700258–426787–1126
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction76.2568.00safe72.22–80.2763.67–72.32safer70.92–81.5762.36–73.63
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2012.5424.74safe9.36–15.049.60–15.4918.96–30.53safer8.61–15.798.85–16.2417.46–32.03
Offsides
46%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.483.29safe0.65–2.970.38–2.571.03–5.54safer0.35–3.270.09–2.860.44–6.13
Yellow cards
24%
22%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.883.09safe0.16–2.250.75–3.010.91–5.27safer0.00–2.520.46–3.300.35–5.82
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.204.746.94safe0.76–3.633.19–6.303.95–9.93safer0.37–4.022.76–6.723.14–10.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.81 1.84–3.77 1.59–4.03 | 0.78 0.00–1.64 0.00–1.86 | 3.59 1.76–5.41 1.29–5.89 | 79% 13% |
| Shots on target | 7.55 5.69–9.42 5.20–9.90 | 2.77 1.03–4.51 0.56–4.98 | 10.32 6.72–13.93 5.76–14.88 | 91% |
| Total shots | 20.47 16.54–24.39 15.45–25.48 | 8.58 5.02–12.14 4.06–13.10 | 29.05 21.56–36.53 19.51–38.58 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 14.51 11.57–17.46 10.74–18.29 | 4.84 2.16–7.52 1.42–8.26 | 19.35 13.73–24.97 12.16–26.54 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.05 3.17–6.94 2.63–7.48 | 2.19 0.54–3.84 0.05–4.34 | 7.25 3.71–10.78 2.67–11.82 | 81% |
| Corners | 7.66 5.45–9.88 4.87–10.45 | 2.99 0.99–4.99 0.46–5.52 | 10.65 6.44–14.86 5.33–15.97 | 90% |
| Possession % | 64.47 57.68–71.26 56.01–72.93 | 35.54 28.75–42.32 27.08–43.99 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 615 547–682 529–700 | 342 275–408 258–426 | 957 823–1090 787–1126 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.25 72.22–80.27 70.92–81.57 | 68.00 63.67–72.32 62.36–73.63 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 12.20 9.36–15.04 8.61–15.79 | 12.54 9.60–15.49 8.85–16.24 | 24.74 18.96–30.53 17.46–32.03 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.48 0.38–2.57 0.09–2.86 | 3.29 1.03–5.54 0.44–6.13 | 46% 23% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.21 0.16–2.25 0.00–2.52 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.09 0.91–5.27 0.35–5.82 | 24% 22% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.20 0.76–3.63 0.37–4.02 | 4.74 3.19–6.30 2.76–6.72 | 6.94 3.95–9.93 3.14–10.74 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.