Eredivisie·Regular Season - 27·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
13%
16%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction1.102.663.76safe0.13–2.071.80–3.511.93–5.58safer0.00–2.321.58–3.741.45–6.06
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.897.2911.18safe2.03–5.755.55–9.037.57–14.78safer1.54–6.245.08–9.506.62–15.74
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0618.1830.24safe8.14–15.9914.62–21.7422.76–37.73safer7.05–17.0813.66–22.7020.71–39.78
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.4712.5219.99safe4.53–10.419.84–15.2014.37–25.61safer3.70–11.249.10–15.9412.80–27.18
Blocked shots
22%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.735.519.23safe1.84–5.613.85–7.165.70–12.77safer1.30–6.153.36–7.654.66–13.80
Corners
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction4.086.6810.76safe1.87–6.304.68–8.686.55–14.97safer1.30–6.874.14–9.215.44–16.08
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction39.9461.36safe33.15–46.7354.57–68.14safer31.48–48.4052.90–69.81
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction347545893safe280–415479–612759–1027safer262–433461–629723–1062
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction62.6779.47safe58.64–66.7075.15–83.80safer57.35–67.9973.84–85.10
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2810.6319.91safe6.44–12.127.69–13.5714.13–25.69safer5.69–12.876.94–14.3212.62–27.20
Offsides
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.432.76safe0.17–2.490.34–2.530.51–5.02safer0.00–2.790.05–2.810.00–5.60
Yellow cards
38%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.482.95safe0.42–2.520.35–2.610.78–5.13safer0.16–2.790.06–2.900.22–5.69
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
67%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.332.676.99safe2.89–5.761.11–4.224.00–9.99safer2.50–6.150.69–4.653.19–10.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.10 0.13–2.07 0.00–2.32 | 2.66 1.80–3.51 1.58–3.74 | 3.76 1.93–5.58 1.45–6.06 | 13% 16% 71% |
| Shots on target | 3.89 2.03–5.75 1.54–6.24 | 7.29 5.55–9.03 5.08–9.50 | 11.18 7.57–14.78 6.62–15.74 | 81% |
| Total shots | 12.06 8.14–15.99 7.05–17.08 | 18.18 14.62–21.74 13.66–22.70 | 30.24 22.76–37.73 20.71–39.78 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 7.47 4.53–10.41 3.70–11.24 | 12.52 9.84–15.20 9.10–15.94 | 19.99 14.37–25.61 12.80–27.18 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 3.73 1.84–5.61 1.30–6.15 | 5.51 3.85–7.16 3.36–7.65 | 9.23 5.70–12.77 4.66–13.80 | 22% 66% |
| Corners | 4.08 1.87–6.30 1.30–6.87 | 6.68 4.68–8.68 4.14–9.21 | 10.76 6.55–14.97 5.44–16.08 | 17% 74% |
| Possession % | 39.94 33.15–46.73 31.48–48.40 | 61.36 54.57–68.14 52.90–69.81 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 347 280–415 262–433 | 545 479–612 461–629 | 893 759–1027 723–1062 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.67 58.64–66.70 57.35–67.99 | 79.47 75.15–83.80 73.84–85.10 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 9.28 6.44–12.12 5.69–12.87 | 10.63 7.69–13.57 6.94–14.32 | 19.91 14.13–25.69 12.62–27.20 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.33 0.17–2.49 0.00–2.79 | 1.43 0.34–2.53 0.05–2.81 | 2.76 0.51–5.02 0.00–5.60 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.16–2.79 | 1.48 0.35–2.61 0.06–2.90 | 2.95 0.78–5.13 0.22–5.69 | 38% 25% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.33 2.89–5.76 2.50–6.15 | 2.67 1.11–4.22 0.69–4.65 | 6.99 4.00–9.99 3.19–10.80 | 67% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.