Eredivisie·Regular Season - 27·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
18%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.471.123.59safe1.50–3.430.27–1.981.77–5.41safer1.25–3.680.04–2.211.29–5.89
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.203.5910.79safe5.34–9.061.85–5.337.19–14.40safer4.85–9.551.38–5.806.23–15.35
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction21.6010.4032.00safe17.68–25.536.84–13.9624.51–39.49safer16.59–26.625.88–14.9222.46–41.54
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction14.137.3221.44safe11.18–17.074.64–10.0015.82–27.07safer10.36–17.903.90–10.7314.25–28.63
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.122.818.93safe4.24–8.001.16–4.475.40–12.47safer3.69–8.550.67–4.964.36–13.50
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction7.093.7510.85safe4.88–9.311.75–5.756.63–15.06safer4.31–9.881.22–6.295.53–16.17
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.3539.67safe53.56–67.1432.88–46.45safer51.89–68.8131.21–48.12
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction601372973safe534–668306–439839–1107safer516–686288–456804–1142
Pass accuracy %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction76.1369.52safe72.10–80.1665.20–73.84safer70.81–81.4563.89–75.15
Fouls
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction9.099.5318.63safe6.25–11.936.59–12.4812.84–24.41safer5.50–12.695.84–13.2311.34–25.91
Offsides
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.643.05safe0.25–2.570.55–2.730.80–5.30safer0.00–2.870.26–3.020.21–5.89
Yellow cards
25%
24%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.101.672.77safe0.05–2.150.54–2.800.59–4.95safer0.00–2.420.25–3.090.03–5.50
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.030.080.11safe0.00–0.190.00–0.270.00–0.46safer0.00–0.340.00–0.400.00–0.74
GK saves
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.604.537.13safe1.17–4.042.98–6.094.14–10.13safer0.78–4.432.55–6.513.33–10.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.47 1.50–3.43 1.25–3.68 | 1.12 0.27–1.98 0.04–2.21 | 3.59 1.77–5.41 1.29–5.89 | 67% 18% 16% |
| Shots on target | 7.20 5.34–9.06 4.85–9.55 | 3.59 1.85–5.33 1.38–5.80 | 10.79 7.19–14.40 6.23–15.35 | 83% |
| Total shots | 21.60 17.68–25.53 16.59–26.62 | 10.40 6.84–13.96 5.88–14.92 | 32.00 24.51–39.49 22.46–41.54 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 14.13 11.18–17.07 10.36–17.90 | 7.32 4.64–10.00 3.90–10.73 | 21.44 15.82–27.07 14.25–28.63 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 6.12 4.24–8.00 3.69–8.55 | 2.81 1.16–4.47 0.67–4.96 | 8.93 5.40–12.47 4.36–13.50 | 83% |
| Corners | 7.09 4.88–9.31 4.31–9.88 | 3.75 1.75–5.75 1.22–6.29 | 10.85 6.63–15.06 5.53–16.17 | 81% |
| Possession % | 60.35 53.56–67.14 51.89–68.81 | 39.67 32.88–46.45 31.21–48.12 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 601 534–668 516–686 | 372 306–439 288–456 | 973 839–1107 804–1142 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.13 72.10–80.16 70.81–81.45 | 69.52 65.20–73.84 63.89–75.15 | — | 78% 18% |
| Fouls | 9.09 6.25–11.93 5.50–12.69 | 9.53 6.59–12.48 5.84–13.23 | 18.63 12.84–24.41 11.34–25.91 | 41% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.87 | 1.64 0.55–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 3.05 0.80–5.30 0.21–5.89 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.10 0.05–2.15 0.00–2.42 | 1.67 0.54–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 2.77 0.59–4.95 0.03–5.50 | 25% 24% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.03 0.00–0.19 0.00–0.34 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.60 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 4.53 2.98–6.09 2.55–6.51 | 7.13 4.14–10.13 3.33–10.94 | 18% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+