Eredivisie·Regular Season - 27·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.523.01safe0.53–2.460.66–2.371.19–4.83safer0.27–2.710.43–2.600.71–5.31
Shots on target
44%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5.035.0410.06safe3.17–6.893.29–6.786.46–13.67safer2.68–7.382.83–7.245.50–14.62
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8714.6229.49safe10.94–18.7911.06–18.1822.00–36.97safer9.85–19.8810.10–19.1419.95–39.03
Shots in box
51%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction9.859.1919.04safe6.91–12.796.50–11.8713.42–24.66safer6.08–13.625.77–12.6011.85–26.23
Blocked shots
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.244.168.40safe2.36–6.122.51–5.824.86–11.94safer1.81–6.662.02–6.313.83–12.97
Corners
43%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction5.535.5811.10safe3.31–7.743.58–7.586.89–15.31safer2.74–8.313.04–8.115.78–16.42
Possession %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction47.0252.46safe40.23–53.8145.67–59.24safer38.56–55.4844.00–60.92
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction428451879safe360–495385–518745–1013safer342–513367–535710–1048
Pass accuracy %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction66.4171.02safe62.38–70.4466.69–75.34safer61.09–71.7365.38–76.65
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7010.2522.95safe9.86–15.547.31–13.2017.17–28.74safer9.11–16.306.56–13.9415.67–30.24
Offsides
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.152.79safe0.48–2.800.06–2.240.53–5.04safer0.18–3.100.00–2.530.00–5.63
Yellow cards
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.552.99safe0.40–2.500.42–2.670.81–5.17safer0.13–2.760.13–2.970.26–5.73
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.543.426.96safe2.10–4.971.87–4.983.97–9.95safer1.72–5.361.44–5.403.16–10.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.53–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.52 0.66–2.37 0.43–2.60 | 3.01 1.19–4.83 0.71–5.31 | 37% 24% 38% |
| Shots on target | 5.03 3.17–6.89 2.68–7.38 | 5.04 3.29–6.78 2.83–7.24 | 10.06 6.46–13.67 5.50–14.62 | 44% 44% |
| Total shots | 14.87 10.94–18.79 9.85–19.88 | 14.62 11.06–18.18 10.10–19.14 | 29.49 22.00–36.97 19.95–39.03 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 9.85 6.91–12.79 6.08–13.62 | 9.19 6.50–11.87 5.77–12.60 | 19.04 13.42–24.66 11.85–26.23 | 51% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 4.24 2.36–6.12 1.81–6.66 | 4.16 2.51–5.82 2.02–6.31 | 8.40 4.86–11.94 3.83–12.97 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Corners | 5.53 3.31–7.74 2.74–8.31 | 5.58 3.58–7.58 3.04–8.11 | 11.10 6.89–15.31 5.78–16.42 | 43% 45% |
| Possession % | 47.02 40.23–53.81 38.56–55.48 | 52.46 45.67–59.24 44.00–60.92 | — | 35% 60% |
| Passes | 428 360–495 342–513 | 451 385–518 367–535 | 879 745–1013 710–1048 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.41 62.38–70.44 61.09–71.73 | 71.02 66.69–75.34 65.38–76.65 | — | 26% 70% |
| Fouls | 12.70 9.86–15.54 9.11–16.30 | 10.25 7.31–13.20 6.56–13.94 | 22.95 17.17–28.74 15.67–30.24 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.15 0.06–2.24 0.00–2.53 | 2.79 0.53–5.04 0.00–5.63 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.50 0.13–2.76 | 1.55 0.42–2.67 0.13–2.97 | 2.99 0.81–5.17 0.26–5.73 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.54 2.10–4.97 1.72–5.36 | 3.42 1.87–4.98 1.44–5.40 | 6.96 3.97–9.95 3.16–10.77 | 44% 15% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.