Eredivisie·Regular Season - 27·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
21%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.102.043.14safe0.13–2.071.18–2.891.31–4.96safer0.00–2.320.95–3.120.83–5.44
Shots on target
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.915.779.68safe2.04–5.774.03–7.526.08–13.29safer1.55–6.263.57–7.985.12–14.24
Total shots
17%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4417.0929.53safe8.52–16.3713.52–20.6522.04–37.02safer7.43–17.4612.56–21.6119.99–39.07
Shots in box
20%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction7.8911.0918.97safe4.94–10.838.41–13.7713.35–24.60safer4.11–11.667.67–14.5111.78–26.16
Blocked shots
25%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.625.148.76safe1.74–5.503.48–6.795.22–12.29safer1.20–6.052.99–7.284.19–13.33
Corners
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction4.466.4610.92safe2.25–6.684.46–8.466.71–15.13safer1.67–7.253.93–8.995.60–16.24
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction39.7160.30safe32.92–46.5153.52–67.09safer31.25–48.1751.85–68.76
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction359530889safe292–426463–596755–1022safer274–444446–614719–1058
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction65.0077.92safe60.97–69.0373.60–82.25safer59.68–70.3272.29–83.56
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2311.0022.23safe8.39–14.068.06–13.9516.45–28.01safer7.63–14.827.31–14.7014.94–29.52
Offsides
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.203.05safe0.69–3.010.11–2.290.79–5.30safer0.38–3.310.00–2.580.20–5.89
Yellow cards
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.493.03safe0.49–2.590.36–2.620.85–5.21safer0.22–2.850.07–2.910.29–5.76
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.932.586.52safe2.50–5.371.03–4.143.52–9.51safer2.11–5.760.60–4.562.71–10.32
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.10 0.13–2.07 0.00–2.32 | 2.04 1.18–2.89 0.95–3.12 | 3.14 1.31–4.96 0.83–5.44 | 20% 21% 59% |
| Shots on target | 3.91 2.04–5.77 1.55–6.26 | 5.77 4.03–7.52 3.57–7.98 | 9.68 6.08–13.29 5.12–14.24 | 22% 67% |
| Total shots | 12.44 8.52–16.37 7.43–17.46 | 17.09 13.52–20.65 12.56–21.61 | 29.53 22.04–37.02 19.99–39.07 | 17% 78% |
| Shots in box | 7.89 4.94–10.83 4.11–11.66 | 11.09 8.41–13.77 7.67–14.51 | 18.97 13.35–24.60 11.78–26.16 | 20% 73% |
| Blocked shots | 3.62 1.74–5.50 1.20–6.05 | 5.14 3.48–6.79 2.99–7.28 | 8.76 5.22–12.29 4.19–13.33 | 25% 63% |
| Corners | 4.46 2.25–6.68 1.67–7.25 | 6.46 4.46–8.46 3.93–8.99 | 10.92 6.71–15.13 5.60–16.24 | 22% 67% |
| Possession % | 39.71 32.92–46.51 31.25–48.17 | 60.30 53.52–67.09 51.85–68.76 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 359 292–426 274–444 | 530 463–596 446–614 | 889 755–1022 719–1058 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.00 60.97–69.03 59.68–70.32 | 77.92 73.60–82.25 72.29–83.56 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 11.23 8.39–14.06 7.63–14.82 | 11.00 8.06–13.95 7.31–14.70 | 22.23 16.45–28.01 14.94–29.52 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.38–3.31 | 1.20 0.11–2.29 0.00–2.58 | 3.05 0.79–5.30 0.20–5.89 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.22–2.85 | 1.49 0.36–2.62 0.07–2.91 | 3.03 0.85–5.21 0.29–5.76 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.93 2.50–5.37 2.11–5.76 | 2.58 1.03–4.14 0.60–4.56 | 6.52 3.52–9.51 2.71–10.32 | 63% 14% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.