Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
26%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.022.48safe0.49–2.430.16–1.870.66–4.30safer0.24–2.680.00–2.100.18–4.78
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.053.758.80safe3.19–6.912.01–5.495.19–12.40safer2.70–7.401.54–5.964.24–13.36
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1711.7925.95safe10.24–18.098.22–15.3518.46–33.44safer9.15–19.187.26–16.3116.41–35.49
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction9.067.6116.67safe6.12–12.004.93–10.2911.04–22.29safer5.29–12.834.19–11.039.48–23.86
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.733.046.77safe1.85–5.621.38–4.693.24–10.31safer1.31–6.160.89–5.182.20–11.34
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.314.8610.17safe3.09–7.522.86–6.865.96–14.38safer2.52–8.092.33–7.404.85–15.49
Possession %
46%
50%
homeawayprediction49.1849.98safe42.39–55.9743.19–56.76safer40.72–57.6441.52–58.43
Passes
58%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction424399823safe357–492333–466690–957safer339–510315–483654–993
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction69.4870.29safe65.45–73.5165.97–74.62safer64.16–74.8064.66–75.92
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7812.8426.62safe10.94–16.629.90–15.7920.84–32.40safer10.19–17.379.15–16.5319.33–33.91
Offsides
41%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.503.11safe0.45–2.770.40–2.590.85–5.36safer0.15–3.070.11–2.880.26–5.95
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.113.94safe0.78–2.880.98–3.241.76–6.12safer0.51–3.140.69–3.531.20–6.67
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.713.586.29safe1.28–4.152.03–5.143.30–9.29safer0.89–4.541.60–5.562.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 1.02 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 2.48 0.66–4.30 0.18–4.78 | 47% 26% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.05 3.19–6.91 2.70–7.40 | 3.75 2.01–5.49 1.54–5.96 | 8.80 5.19–12.40 4.24–13.36 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 14.17 10.24–18.09 9.15–19.18 | 11.79 8.22–15.35 7.26–16.31 | 25.95 18.46–33.44 16.41–35.49 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 9.06 6.12–12.00 5.29–12.83 | 7.61 4.93–10.29 4.19–11.03 | 16.67 11.04–22.29 9.48–23.86 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.73 1.85–5.62 1.31–6.16 | 3.04 1.38–4.69 0.89–5.18 | 6.77 3.24–10.31 2.20–11.34 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.31 3.09–7.52 2.52–8.09 | 4.86 2.86–6.86 2.33–7.40 | 10.17 5.96–14.38 4.85–15.49 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 49.18 42.39–55.97 40.72–57.64 | 49.98 43.19–56.76 41.52–58.43 | — | 46% 50% |
| Passes | 424 357–492 339–510 | 399 333–466 315–483 | 823 690–957 654–993 | 58% 41% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.48 65.45–73.51 64.16–74.80 | 70.29 65.97–74.62 64.66–75.92 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 13.78 10.94–16.62 10.19–17.37 | 12.84 9.90–15.79 9.15–16.53 | 26.62 20.84–32.40 19.33–33.91 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 1.50 0.40–2.59 0.11–2.88 | 3.11 0.85–5.36 0.26–5.95 | 41% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.51–3.14 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.94 1.76–6.12 1.20–6.67 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.71 1.28–4.15 0.89–4.54 | 3.58 2.03–5.14 1.60–5.56 | 6.29 3.30–9.29 2.49–10.10 | 29% 15% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+