Eredivisie·Regular Season - 28·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.132.67safe0.56–2.500.28–1.990.84–4.49safer0.31–2.750.05–2.220.36–4.97
Shots on target
58%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.823.728.54safe2.96–6.681.98–5.474.94–12.15safer2.47–7.171.51–5.933.98–13.10
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8012.0126.81safe10.88–18.738.45–15.5719.32–34.30safer9.79–19.827.49–16.5317.27–36.35
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction9.287.6216.91safe6.34–12.234.94–10.3011.28–22.53safer5.51–13.064.20–11.049.72–24.10
Blocked shots
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.163.047.19safe2.28–6.041.38–4.693.66–10.73safer1.73–6.580.89–5.182.62–11.76
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.744.4710.21safe3.53–7.962.47–6.476.00–14.43safer2.96–8.531.94–7.004.89–15.53
Possession %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction53.2046.54safe46.41–59.9939.75–53.32safer44.74–61.6638.08–54.99
Passes
68%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction466409876safe399–534343–476742–1009safer381–552325–493706–1045
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction69.8668.20safe65.83–73.8963.87–72.52safer64.54–75.1962.56–73.83
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4011.4421.85safe7.57–13.248.50–14.3916.06–27.63safer6.81–14.007.75–15.1414.56–29.13
Offsides
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.663.10safe0.27–2.590.57–2.750.84–5.35safer0.00–2.900.28–3.040.25–5.94
Yellow cards
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.763.22safe0.41–2.510.63–2.891.04–5.40safer0.14–2.770.34–3.180.48–5.95
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
31%
17%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.493.185.68safe1.06–3.931.63–4.742.68–8.67safer0.67–4.321.20–5.161.87–9.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.56–2.50 0.31–2.75 | 1.13 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 2.67 0.84–4.49 0.36–4.97 | 47% 25% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.82 2.96–6.68 2.47–7.17 | 3.72 1.98–5.47 1.51–5.93 | 8.54 4.94–12.15 3.98–13.10 | 58% 29% |
| Total shots | 14.80 10.88–18.73 9.79–19.82 | 12.01 8.45–15.57 7.49–16.53 | 26.81 19.32–34.30 17.27–36.35 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 9.28 6.34–12.23 5.51–13.06 | 7.62 4.94–10.30 4.20–11.04 | 16.91 11.28–22.53 9.72–24.10 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 4.16 2.28–6.04 1.73–6.58 | 3.04 1.38–4.69 0.89–5.18 | 7.19 3.66–10.73 2.62–11.76 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 5.74 3.53–7.96 2.96–8.53 | 4.47 2.47–6.47 1.94–7.00 | 10.21 6.00–14.43 4.89–15.53 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 53.20 46.41–59.99 44.74–61.66 | 46.54 39.75–53.32 38.08–54.99 | — | 63% 33% |
| Passes | 466 399–534 381–552 | 409 343–476 325–493 | 876 742–1009 706–1045 | 68% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.86 65.83–73.89 64.54–75.19 | 68.20 63.87–72.52 62.56–73.83 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 10.40 7.57–13.24 6.81–14.00 | 11.44 8.50–14.39 7.75–15.14 | 21.85 16.06–27.63 14.56–29.13 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.43 0.27–2.59 0.00–2.90 | 1.66 0.57–2.75 0.28–3.04 | 3.10 0.84–5.35 0.25–5.94 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.41–2.51 0.14–2.77 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.22 1.04–5.40 0.48–5.95 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.06–3.93 0.67–4.32 | 3.18 1.63–4.74 1.20–5.16 | 5.68 2.68–8.67 1.87–9.48 | 31% 17% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+