Eredivisie·Regular Season - 28·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.313.28safe1.00–2.940.45–2.161.45–5.10safer0.75–3.190.22–2.390.97–5.58
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.984.3710.34safe4.12–7.842.62–6.116.74–13.95safer3.63–8.332.16–6.575.78–14.90
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction18.8611.8530.71safe14.93–22.788.29–15.4223.23–38.20safer13.84–23.887.33–16.3821.18–40.25
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction12.717.9420.65safe9.76–15.655.26–10.6215.03–26.27safer8.93–16.484.52–11.3613.46–27.84
Blocked shots
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.763.779.53safe3.87–7.642.12–5.425.99–13.06safer3.33–8.181.62–5.924.95–14.10
Corners
72%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.854.3911.24safe4.64–9.062.39–6.397.03–15.46safer4.06–9.641.86–6.935.92–16.56
Possession %
77%
20%
homeawayprediction56.8743.55safe50.08–63.6636.77–50.33safer48.41–65.3335.09–52.01
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction507388895safe440–574322–455762–1029safer422–592304–472726–1065
Pass accuracy %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction74.4870.76safe70.45–78.5166.44–75.09safer69.16–79.8065.13–76.39
Fouls
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3110.4420.75safe7.47–13.147.50–13.3914.97–26.53safer6.71–13.906.75–14.1413.46–28.03
Offsides
29%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.773.09safe0.16–2.480.67–2.860.83–5.34safer0.00–2.780.39–3.150.24–5.93
Yellow cards
29%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.652.90safe0.20–2.300.52–2.780.72–5.08safer0.00–2.570.23–3.070.16–5.64
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
27%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.964.057.01safe1.52–4.402.49–5.604.02–10.00safer1.14–4.782.07–6.033.20–10.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.97 1.00–2.94 0.75–3.19 | 1.31 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.39 | 3.28 1.45–5.10 0.97–5.58 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.98 4.12–7.84 3.63–8.33 | 4.37 2.62–6.11 2.16–6.57 | 10.34 6.74–13.95 5.78–14.90 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 18.86 14.93–22.78 13.84–23.88 | 11.85 8.29–15.42 7.33–16.38 | 30.71 23.23–38.20 21.18–40.25 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 12.71 9.76–15.65 8.93–16.48 | 7.94 5.26–10.62 4.52–11.36 | 20.65 15.03–26.27 13.46–27.84 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 5.76 3.87–7.64 3.33–8.18 | 3.77 2.12–5.42 1.62–5.92 | 9.53 5.99–13.06 4.95–14.10 | 68% 21% |
| Corners | 6.85 4.64–9.06 4.06–9.64 | 4.39 2.39–6.39 1.86–6.93 | 11.24 7.03–15.46 5.92–16.56 | 72% 19% |
| Possession % | 56.87 50.08–63.66 48.41–65.33 | 43.55 36.77–50.33 35.09–52.01 | — | 77% 20% |
| Passes | 507 440–574 422–592 | 388 322–455 304–472 | 895 762–1029 726–1065 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.48 70.45–78.51 69.16–79.80 | 70.76 66.44–75.09 65.13–76.39 | — | 66% 29% |
| Fouls | 10.31 7.47–13.14 6.71–13.90 | 10.44 7.50–13.39 6.75–14.14 | 20.75 14.97–26.53 13.46–28.03 | 44% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.32 0.16–2.48 0.00–2.78 | 1.77 0.67–2.86 0.39–3.15 | 3.09 0.83–5.34 0.24–5.93 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.25 0.20–2.30 0.00–2.57 | 1.65 0.52–2.78 0.23–3.07 | 2.90 0.72–5.08 0.16–5.64 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.96 1.52–4.40 1.14–4.78 | 4.05 2.49–5.60 2.07–6.03 | 7.01 4.02–10.00 3.20–10.81 | 27% 14% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.