Eredivisie·Regular Season - 28·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
18%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.411.233.64safe1.45–3.380.37–2.081.82–5.46safer1.19–3.630.15–2.311.34–5.94
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.424.1110.54safe4.56–8.292.37–5.856.93–14.14safer4.07–8.781.90–6.325.98–15.10
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction17.5311.3028.84safe13.61–21.467.74–14.8721.35–36.32safer12.52–22.556.78–15.8319.30–38.37
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction11.587.3818.96safe8.64–14.534.70–10.0613.34–24.58safer7.81–15.363.96–10.8011.77–26.15
Blocked shots
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.353.577.92safe2.46–6.231.92–5.234.38–11.45safer1.92–6.771.43–5.723.35–12.49
Corners
72%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.584.2110.78safe4.36–8.792.21–6.216.57–15.00safer3.79–9.361.67–6.745.46–16.10
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction54.9344.97safe48.14–61.7238.19–51.76safer46.47–63.3936.51–53.43
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction528438966safe461–595372–505833–1100safer442–613355–522797–1136
Pass accuracy %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction75.6575.63safe71.62–79.6871.31–79.95safer70.33–80.9770.00–81.26
Fouls
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3010.7521.05safe7.47–13.147.80–13.6915.27–26.83safer6.71–13.907.05–14.4413.76–28.34
Offsides
53%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.293.25safe0.81–3.130.19–2.381.00–5.51safer0.51–3.430.00–2.670.41–6.09
Yellow cards
21%
21%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.152.053.20safe0.10–2.200.92–3.181.02–5.38safer0.00–2.470.63–3.470.46–5.94
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
26%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.944.097.03safe1.51–4.382.53–5.644.04–10.02safer1.12–4.772.11–6.073.22–10.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.41 1.45–3.38 1.19–3.63 | 1.23 0.37–2.08 0.15–2.31 | 3.64 1.82–5.46 1.34–5.94 | 64% 18% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.42 4.56–8.29 4.07–8.78 | 4.11 2.37–5.85 1.90–6.32 | 10.54 6.93–14.14 5.98–15.10 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 17.53 13.61–21.46 12.52–22.55 | 11.30 7.74–14.87 6.78–15.83 | 28.84 21.35–36.32 19.30–38.37 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 11.58 8.64–14.53 7.81–15.36 | 7.38 4.70–10.06 3.96–10.80 | 18.96 13.34–24.58 11.77–26.15 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.35 2.46–6.23 1.92–6.77 | 3.57 1.92–5.23 1.43–5.72 | 7.92 4.38–11.45 3.35–12.49 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Corners | 6.58 4.36–8.79 3.79–9.36 | 4.21 2.21–6.21 1.67–6.74 | 10.78 6.57–15.00 5.46–16.10 | 72% 19% |
| Possession % | 54.93 48.14–61.72 46.47–63.39 | 44.97 38.19–51.76 36.51–53.43 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 528 461–595 442–613 | 438 372–505 355–522 | 966 833–1100 797–1136 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.65 71.62–79.68 70.33–80.97 | 75.63 71.31–79.95 70.00–81.26 | — | 48% 47% |
| Fouls | 10.30 7.47–13.14 6.71–13.90 | 10.75 7.80–13.69 7.05–14.44 | 21.05 15.27–26.83 13.76–28.34 | 42% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.51–3.43 | 1.29 0.19–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 3.25 1.00–5.51 0.41–6.09 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.15 0.10–2.20 0.00–2.47 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.20 1.02–5.38 0.46–5.94 | 21% 21% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.51–4.38 1.12–4.77 | 4.09 2.53–5.64 2.11–6.07 | 7.03 4.04–10.02 3.22–10.83 | 26% 14% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.