Eredivisie·Regular Season - 29·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
26%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.082.51safe0.46–2.400.23–1.930.69–4.33safer0.21–2.650.00–2.160.21–4.81
Shots on target
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.084.069.14safe3.22–6.942.32–5.805.54–12.75safer2.73–7.431.85–6.274.58–13.70
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8912.4827.37safe10.96–18.818.92–16.0419.88–34.86safer9.87–19.907.96–17.0017.83–36.91
Shots in box
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction9.637.6517.28safe6.68–12.574.97–10.3311.66–22.90safer5.85–13.404.24–11.0710.09–24.47
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.813.377.18safe1.93–5.691.71–5.023.64–10.71safer1.38–6.241.22–5.512.60–11.75
Corners
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.284.7310.01safe3.07–7.502.73–6.735.80–14.23safer2.50–8.072.19–7.264.69–15.33
Possession %
44%
52%
homeawayprediction49.4851.13safe42.69–56.2744.34–57.91safer41.02–57.9442.67–59.58
Passes
41%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction407433841safe340–475367–500707–974safer322–493349–517671–1010
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction68.2471.09safe64.21–72.2766.76–75.41safer62.92–73.5665.45–76.72
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5213.4726.99safe10.68–16.3510.53–16.4221.21–32.77safer9.92–17.119.78–17.1719.70–34.28
Offsides
51%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.323.22safe0.75–3.070.22–2.410.97–5.48safer0.44–3.370.00–2.700.38–6.06
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.204.04safe0.78–2.881.07–3.331.86–6.22safer0.52–3.150.78–3.621.30–6.77
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.456.18safe1.29–4.171.90–5.013.19–9.17safer0.91–4.551.47–5.432.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.46–2.40 0.21–2.65 | 1.08 0.23–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.51 0.69–4.33 0.21–4.81 | 45% 26% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.08 3.22–6.94 2.73–7.43 | 4.06 2.32–5.80 1.85–6.27 | 9.14 5.54–12.75 4.58–13.70 | 57% 31% |
| Total shots | 14.89 10.96–18.81 9.87–19.90 | 12.48 8.92–16.04 7.96–17.00 | 27.37 19.88–34.86 17.83–36.91 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 9.63 6.68–12.57 5.85–13.40 | 7.65 4.97–10.33 4.24–11.07 | 17.28 11.66–22.90 10.09–24.47 | 64% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 3.81 1.93–5.69 1.38–6.24 | 3.37 1.71–5.02 1.22–5.51 | 7.18 3.64–10.71 2.60–11.75 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.28 3.07–7.50 2.50–8.07 | 4.73 2.73–6.73 2.19–7.26 | 10.01 5.80–14.23 4.69–15.33 | 51% 37% |
| Possession % | 49.48 42.69–56.27 41.02–57.94 | 51.13 44.34–57.91 42.67–59.58 | — | 44% 52% |
| Passes | 407 340–475 322–493 | 433 367–500 349–517 | 841 707–974 671–1010 | 41% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.24 64.21–72.27 62.92–73.56 | 71.09 66.76–75.41 65.45–76.72 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 13.52 10.68–16.35 9.92–17.11 | 13.47 10.53–16.42 9.78–17.17 | 26.99 21.21–32.77 19.70–34.28 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.07 0.44–3.37 | 1.32 0.22–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 3.22 0.97–5.48 0.38–6.06 | 51% 22% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.52–3.15 | 2.20 1.07–3.33 0.78–3.62 | 4.04 1.86–6.22 1.30–6.77 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.73 1.29–4.17 0.91–4.55 | 3.45 1.90–5.01 1.47–5.43 | 6.18 3.19–9.17 2.38–9.99 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.