Eredivisie·Regular Season - 29·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.882.763.64safe0.00–1.851.91–3.621.82–5.47safer0.00–2.101.68–3.851.34–5.95
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction3.307.3210.62safe1.43–5.165.58–9.077.02–14.23safer0.95–5.655.12–9.536.06–15.18
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3119.0030.31safe7.39–15.2415.43–22.5622.82–37.80safer6.30–16.3314.48–23.5220.77–39.85
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction6.2312.7618.98safe3.28–9.1710.08–15.4413.36–24.61safer2.45–10.009.34–16.1811.79–26.17
Blocked shots
18%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.824.837.65safe0.94–4.703.18–6.494.12–11.19safer0.40–5.252.69–6.983.08–12.22
Corners
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.776.5310.29safe1.55–5.984.53–8.536.08–14.51safer0.98–6.553.99–9.064.97–15.61
Possession %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction41.3658.33safe34.57–48.1551.55–65.12safer32.90–49.8249.88–66.79
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction387523911safe320–455457–590777–1044safer302–473439–607741–1080
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction63.0674.37safe59.03–67.0970.05–78.70safer57.74–68.3868.74–80.01
Fouls
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction12.609.9122.51safe9.77–15.446.97–12.8616.73–28.30safer9.01–16.206.22–13.6015.23–29.80
Offsides
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.013.66safe0.49–2.810.92–3.111.41–5.92safer0.19–3.110.63–3.400.82–6.51
Yellow cards
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.162.89safe0.69–2.790.03–2.290.72–5.07safer0.42–3.050.00–2.580.16–5.63
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.250.00–0.49safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
73%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.542.406.94safe3.10–5.970.85–3.963.95–9.93safer2.71–6.360.42–4.383.13–10.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.88 0.00–1.85 0.00–2.10 | 2.76 1.91–3.62 1.68–3.85 | 3.64 1.82–5.47 1.34–5.95 | 14% 77% |
| Shots on target | 3.30 1.43–5.16 0.95–5.65 | 7.32 5.58–9.07 5.12–9.53 | 10.62 7.02–14.23 6.06–15.18 | 86% |
| Total shots | 11.31 7.39–15.24 6.30–16.33 | 19.00 15.43–22.56 14.48–23.52 | 30.31 22.82–37.80 20.77–39.85 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 6.23 3.28–9.17 2.45–10.00 | 12.76 10.08–15.44 9.34–16.18 | 18.98 13.36–24.61 11.79–26.17 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 2.82 0.94–4.70 0.40–5.25 | 4.83 3.18–6.49 2.69–6.98 | 7.65 4.12–11.19 3.08–12.22 | 18% 71% |
| Corners | 3.77 1.55–5.98 0.98–6.55 | 6.53 4.53–8.53 3.99–9.06 | 10.29 6.08–14.51 4.97–15.61 | 15% 76% |
| Possession % | 41.36 34.57–48.15 32.90–49.82 | 58.33 51.55–65.12 49.88–66.79 | — | 14% 83% |
| Passes | 387 320–455 302–473 | 523 457–590 439–607 | 911 777–1044 741–1080 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.06 59.03–67.09 57.74–68.38 | 74.37 70.05–78.70 68.74–80.01 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 12.60 9.77–15.44 9.01–16.20 | 9.91 6.97–12.86 6.22–13.60 | 22.51 16.73–28.30 15.23–29.80 | 68% 25% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 2.01 0.92–3.11 0.63–3.40 | 3.66 1.41–5.92 0.82–6.51 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.42–3.05 | 1.16 0.03–2.29 0.00–2.58 | 2.89 0.72–5.07 0.16–5.63 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.54 3.10–5.97 2.71–6.36 | 2.40 0.85–3.96 0.42–4.38 | 6.94 3.95–9.93 3.13–10.74 | 73% 15% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.