Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
22%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.973.22safe0.28–2.221.12–2.831.40–5.04safer0.03–2.470.89–3.050.92–5.52
Shots on target
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction4.096.7710.85safe2.22–5.955.02–8.517.25–14.46safer1.73–6.444.56–8.976.29–15.41
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9318.3829.31safe7.01–14.8514.82–21.9421.82–36.80safer5.91–15.9513.86–22.9019.77–38.85
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.2912.1619.45safe4.35–10.239.48–14.8413.82–25.07safer3.52–11.068.74–15.5812.26–26.64
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.835.648.46safe0.95–4.713.98–7.294.93–12.00safer0.40–5.253.49–7.783.89–13.03
Corners
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.906.6010.50safe1.68–6.114.60–8.606.28–14.71safer1.11–6.684.07–9.135.18–15.82
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction36.3564.22safe29.56–43.1457.44–71.01safer27.89–44.8155.77–72.68
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction365611976safe298–432545–678842–1110safer279–450527–695807–1145
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction62.5779.81safe58.54–66.6075.49–84.13safer57.25–67.8974.18–85.44
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3410.0321.36safe8.50–14.187.08–12.9715.58–27.15safer7.74–14.936.33–13.7214.08–28.65
Offsides
48%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.463.34safe0.72–3.040.36–2.551.09–5.59safer0.42–3.340.08–2.840.50–6.18
Yellow cards
45%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.282.90safe0.57–2.670.15–2.400.72–5.07safer0.30–2.940.00–2.700.16–5.63
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.14safe0.00–0.240.00–0.250.00–0.49safer0.00–0.390.00–0.380.00–0.77
GK saves
67%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.352.657.00safe2.91–5.781.09–4.214.00–9.99safer2.52–6.170.67–4.633.19–10.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.97 1.12–2.83 0.89–3.05 | 3.22 1.40–5.04 0.92–5.52 | 24% 22% 54% |
| Shots on target | 4.09 2.22–5.95 1.73–6.44 | 6.77 5.02–8.51 4.56–8.97 | 10.85 7.25–14.46 6.29–15.41 | 16% 75% |
| Total shots | 10.93 7.01–14.85 5.91–15.95 | 18.38 14.82–21.94 13.86–22.90 | 29.31 21.82–36.80 19.77–38.85 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 7.29 4.35–10.23 3.52–11.06 | 12.16 9.48–14.84 8.74–15.58 | 19.45 13.82–25.07 12.26–26.64 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 2.83 0.95–4.71 0.40–5.25 | 5.64 3.98–7.29 3.49–7.78 | 8.46 4.93–12.00 3.89–13.03 | 79% |
| Corners | 3.90 1.68–6.11 1.11–6.68 | 6.60 4.60–8.60 4.07–9.13 | 10.50 6.28–14.71 5.18–15.82 | 16% 75% |
| Possession % | 36.35 29.56–43.14 27.89–44.81 | 64.22 57.44–71.01 55.77–72.68 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 365 298–432 279–450 | 611 545–678 527–695 | 976 842–1110 807–1145 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.57 58.54–66.60 57.25–67.89 | 79.81 75.49–84.13 74.18–85.44 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 11.34 8.50–14.18 7.74–14.93 | 10.03 7.08–12.97 6.33–13.72 | 21.36 15.58–27.15 14.08–28.65 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.46 0.36–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 3.34 1.09–5.59 0.50–6.18 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.30–2.94 | 1.28 0.15–2.40 0.00–2.70 | 2.90 0.72–5.07 0.16–5.63 | 45% 24% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.35 2.91–5.78 2.52–6.17 | 2.65 1.09–4.21 0.67–4.63 | 7.00 4.00–9.99 3.19–10.80 | 67% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.